UCAM Murcia II vs Santa Cruz: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 13Group 13 - 28Kick-off on March 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio El Mayayo, Sangonera la Verde
The Footlab model makes UCAM Murcia II the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Santa Cruz. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win UCAM Murcia II vs Santa Cruz?
A very open match: only 81 Elo points separate UCAM Murcia II (1,844) and Santa Cruz (1,763).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, UCAM Murcia II have 6 wins, 8 draws and 1 defeats; Santa Cruz have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Águilas II(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| May 3, 2026 | Muleño(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Mazarrón FC(home) | 3-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | El Palmar(away) | 4-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Balsicas Atlético(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Cartagena LU II(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| May 2, 2026 | Real Murcia II(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Yeclano II(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | SFC Minerva(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Atlético Pulpileño(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 UCAM Murcia II win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Santa Cruz win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2026 | UCAM Murcia II 4-0 Santa Cruz | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Nov 15, 2025 | Santa Cruz 0-1 UCAM Murcia II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
Last archived meeting: UCAM Murcia II vs Santa Cruz on Mar 29, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
UCAM Murcia II score 2.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Santa Cruz score 1.0 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UCAM Murcia II | 2.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
| Santa Cruz | 1.0 | 1.1 | 6 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
UCAM Murcia II sit 6th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 (55 points from 34 matches) and Santa Cruz sit 8th (51 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | UCAM Murcia II | 34 | 13 | 16 | 5 | 55 | 37 | 55 |
| 8 | Santa Cruz | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 37 | 34 | 51 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for UCAM Murcia II vs Santa Cruz?
- The Footlab model makes UCAM Murcia II the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Santa Cruz.
- Where and when is UCAM Murcia II vs Santa Cruz played?
- UCAM Murcia II vs Santa Cruz is played on March 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio El Mayayo, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 28, 2027Los GarresvsBala Azul
- Mar 28, 2027SFC MinervavsUnión Molinense
- Mar 28, 2027Cartagena LU IIvsOlímpico Totana
- Mar 28, 2027AlgarvsEl Palmar
- Mar 28, 2027Balsicas AtléticovsMazarrón FC
- Mar 28, 2027SantomeravsÁguilas II
- Mar 28, 2027Bullas DeportivovsAlcantarilla
- Mar 28, 2027San JaviervsAtlético Pulpileño