El Palmar vs Los Garres: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 13Group 13 - 27Kick-off on March 21, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Polideportivo Municipal El Palmar, El Palmar
The Footlab model makes El Palmar the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Los Garres. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win El Palmar vs Los Garres?
A very open match: only 60 Elo points separate El Palmar (1,643) and Los Garres (1,583).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, El Palmar have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Los Garres have 1, 1 and 13.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | SFC Minerva(away) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| May 3, 2026 | Atlético Pulpileño(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Águilas II(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | UCAM Murcia II(home) | 0-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Mazarrón FC(away) | 1-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2025 | Elche(home) | 0-4 | Copa del Rey |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Manises(home) | 2-0 | Copa del Rey |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Manises(away) | 0-2 | Copa del Rey |
| May 1, 2022 | Lorca Deportiva(home) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 22, 2022 | UD Caravaca(away) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 El Palmar win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Los Garres win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2022 | El Palmar 3-0 Los Garres | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Oct 13, 2021 | Los Garres 1-1 El Palmar | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Feb 14, 2021 | El Palmar 0-2 Los Garres | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Nov 15, 2020 | Los Garres 1-1 El Palmar | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Jan 5, 2020 | El Palmar 1-0 Los Garres | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
Last archived meeting: El Palmar vs Los Garres on Feb 20, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
El Palmar score 0.8 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Los Garres score 0.5 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| El Palmar | 0.8 | 1.7 | 5 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| Los Garres | 0.5 | 2.3 | 1 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | El Palmar | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 27 | 48 | 32 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for El Palmar vs Los Garres?
- The Footlab model makes El Palmar the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Los Garres.
- Where and when is El Palmar vs Los Garres played?
- El Palmar vs Los Garres is played on March 21, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Polideportivo Municipal El Palmar, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 21, 2027Atlético PulpileñovsUnión Molinense
- Mar 21, 2027Mazarrón FCvsSantomera
- Mar 21, 2027Olímpico TotanavsBalsicas Atlético
- Mar 21, 2027Bala AzulvsUCAM Murcia II
- Mar 21, 2027AlcantarillavsAlgar
- Mar 21, 2027Águilas IIvsBullas Deportivo
- Mar 21, 2027Santa CruzvsSFC Minerva
- Mar 21, 2027San JaviervsCartagena LU II