Santa Cruz vs SFC Minerva: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 13Group 13 - 27Kick-off on March 21, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Santa Cruz the favourite at 50%, against 29% for a draw and 21% for SFC Minerva. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Santa Cruz vs SFC Minerva?
A very open match: only 66 Elo points separate Santa Cruz (1,763) and SFC Minerva (1,697).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Santa Cruz have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; SFC Minerva have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Cartagena LU II(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| May 2, 2026 | Real Murcia II(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Yeclano II(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | SFC Minerva(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Atlético Pulpileño(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | El Palmar(home) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| May 3, 2026 | Balsicas Atlético(away) | 0-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Unión Molinense(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Santa Cruz(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Santomera(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Santa Cruz win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 SFC Minerva win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Santa Cruz 1-0 SFC Minerva | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Dec 14, 2025 | SFC Minerva 0-2 Santa Cruz | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
Last archived meeting: Santa Cruz vs SFC Minerva on Apr 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Santa Cruz score 1.0 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; SFC Minerva score 0.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santa Cruz | 1.0 | 1.1 | 6 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
| SFC Minerva | 0.9 | 1.3 | 5 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Santa Cruz sit 8th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 (51 points from 34 matches) and SFC Minerva sit 10th (44 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Santa Cruz | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 37 | 34 | 51 |
| 10 | SFC Minerva | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 28 | 39 | 44 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Santa Cruz vs SFC Minerva?
- The Footlab model makes Santa Cruz the favourite at 50%, against 29% for a draw and 21% for SFC Minerva.
- Where and when is Santa Cruz vs SFC Minerva played?
- Santa Cruz vs SFC Minerva is played on March 21, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC), in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 21, 2027El PalmarvsLos Garres
- Mar 21, 2027Atlético PulpileñovsUnión Molinense
- Mar 21, 2027Mazarrón FCvsSantomera
- Mar 21, 2027Olímpico TotanavsBalsicas Atlético
- Mar 21, 2027Bala AzulvsUCAM Murcia II
- Mar 21, 2027AlcantarillavsAlgar
- Mar 21, 2027Águilas IIvsBullas Deportivo
- Mar 21, 2027San JaviervsCartagena LU II