Los Garres vs Bala Azul: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 13Group 13 - 28Kick-off on March 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Las Tejeras, Murcia
The Footlab model makes Los Garres the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Bala Azul. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Los Garres vs Bala Azul?
Bala Azul starts as the favourite with a 154-point Elo edge (1,737 vs 1,583).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Los Garres have 1 wins, 1 draws and 13 defeats; Bala Azul have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2025 | Elche(home) | 0-4 | Copa del Rey |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Manises(home) | 2-0 | Copa del Rey |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Manises(away) | 0-2 | Copa del Rey |
| May 1, 2022 | Lorca Deportiva(home) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 22, 2022 | UD Caravaca(away) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | UD Caravaca(home) | 2-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| May 2, 2026 | Cieza(away) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Muleño(home) | 3-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Olímpico Totana(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Cartagena LU II(away) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Los Garres win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Bala Azul win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2022 | Los Garres 0-1 Bala Azul | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Nov 14, 2021 | Bala Azul 2-1 Los Garres | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
Last archived meeting: Los Garres vs Bala Azul on Mar 27, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Los Garres score 0.5 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Bala Azul score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Garres | 0.5 | 2.3 | 1 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
| Bala Azul | 1.5 | 1.3 | 6 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Bala Azul | 34 | 7 | 17 | 10 | 36 | 36 | 38 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Los Garres vs Bala Azul?
- The Footlab model makes Los Garres the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Bala Azul.
- Where and when is Los Garres vs Bala Azul played?
- Los Garres vs Bala Azul is played on March 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Las Tejeras, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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- Mar 28, 2027Cartagena LU IIvsOlímpico Totana
- Mar 28, 2027AlgarvsEl Palmar
- Mar 28, 2027Balsicas AtléticovsMazarrón FC
- Mar 28, 2027SantomeravsÁguilas II
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