Los Garres vs Bala Azul: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 13Group 13 - 28Kick-off on March 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Las Tejeras, Murcia
The Footlab AI model makes Bala Azul the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Los Garres. The most likely score is 1-1. If Bala Azul wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,623 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Los Garres vs Bala Azul?
Bala Azul starts as the favourite with a 132-point Elo edge (1,748 vs 1,616).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Los Garres vs Bala Azul
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Los Garres
4-3-3- 9J. Fernandez
- 7J. Garcia Belluga
- 21F. Martinez
- 11L. Bernal
- 8P. Martinez
- 14A. Martinez
- 3E. Fugas
- 12K. Ribeiro
- 2E. Varela
- 15J. Martinez
- 1D. Navarro
Bala Azul
Not enough data to predict the Bala Azul lineup.
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 12:33 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Los Garres have 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats; Bala Azul have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Olímpico Totana(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | San Javier(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Cartagena LU II(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Balsicas Atlético(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Santomera(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Atlético Pulpileño(away) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Alcantarilla(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Águilas II(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Mazarrón FC(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Olímpico Totana(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Los Garres wins, 0 draws, 2 Bala Azul wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2022 | Los Garres 0-1 Bala Azul | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Nov 14, 2021 | Bala Azul 2-1 Los Garres | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
Last archived meeting: Los Garres vs Bala Azul on Mar 27, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Los Garres score 0.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Bala Azul score 1.5 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Garres | 0.7 | 1.7 | 2 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Bala Azul | 1.5 | 1.4 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Los Garres sit 11th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 (8 points from 6 matches) and Bala Azul sit 9th (8 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Bala Azul | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 8 |
| 11 | Los Garres | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 8 |
A question about Los Garres vs Bala Azul?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Los Garres vs Bala Azul?
- The Footlab AI model makes Bala Azul the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Los Garres.
- Where and when is Los Garres vs Bala Azul played?
- Los Garres vs Bala Azul is played on March 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Las Tejeras, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 28, 2027SFC MinervavsUnión Molinense
- Mar 28, 2027UCAM Murcia IIvsSanta Cruz
- Mar 28, 2027Cartagena LU IIvsOlímpico Totana
- Mar 28, 2027AlgarvsEl Palmar
- Mar 28, 2027Balsicas AtléticovsMazarrón FC
- Mar 28, 2027SantomeravsÁguilas II
- Mar 28, 2027Bullas DeportivovsAlcantarilla
- Mar 28, 2027San JaviervsAtlético Pulpileño