Match

Los Garres vs Bala Azul: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 13Group 13 - 28Kick-off on March 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Las Tejeras, Murcia

Los GarresBala Azul

The Footlab model makes Los Garres the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Bala Azul. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Los Garres vs Bala Azul?

Bala Azul starts as the favourite with a 154-point Elo edge (1,737 vs 1,583).

Los Garres win36 %
Draw29 %
Bala Azul win35 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Los Garres have 1 wins, 1 draws and 13 defeats; Bala Azul have 5, 6 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Los Garres
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 29, 2025Elche(home)0-4Copa del Rey
Oct 4, 2025Manises(home)2-0Copa del Rey
Sep 27, 2025Manises(away)0-2Copa del Rey
May 1, 2022Lorca Deportiva(home)1-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 22, 2022UD Caravaca(away)2-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Bala Azul
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 9, 2026UD Caravaca(home)2-4Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
May 2, 2026Cieza(away)1-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 26, 2026Muleño(home)3-4Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 19, 2026Olímpico Totana(home)0-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 12, 2026Cartagena LU II(away)3-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 13

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Los Garres win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Bala Azul win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 27, 2022Los Garres 0-1 Bala AzulTercera División RFEF - Group 13
Nov 14, 2021Bala Azul 2-1 Los GarresTercera División RFEF - Group 13

Last archived meeting: Los Garres vs Bala Azul on Mar 27, 2022

How many goals should we expect?

Los Garres score 0.5 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Bala Azul score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Los Garres0.52.315/158/15
Bala Azul1.51.369/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
11Bala Azul3471710363638

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Los Garres vs Bala Azul?
The Footlab model makes Los Garres the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Bala Azul.
Where and when is Los Garres vs Bala Azul played?
Los Garres vs Bala Azul is played on March 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Las Tejeras, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Los Garres and Bala Azul

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