Mazarrón FC vs Santomera: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 13Group 13 - 27Kick-off on March 21, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de Mazarrón, Mazarrón
The Footlab AI model makes Mazarrón FC the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for Santomera. The most likely score is 1-1. If Mazarrón FC wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,857 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mazarrón FC vs Santomera?
A very open match: only 10 Elo points separate Mazarrón FC (1,751) and Santomera (1,761).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Mazarrón FC vs Santomera
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Mazarrón FC
4-3-3- CC. Ventura
- KKevin Prince Bassamba Wolosso
- SSalvador Manuel Ardil Navarro
- JJulian David Taborda Gaviria
- CCascales
- SSamuel Adolfo Pérez Mateo
- MMatteo Carlens Cantave
- JJosé Manuel Martínez Fonta
- GG. Argüello
- AAarón David Fothergill
- RRafael Rubio Díaz
Santomera
Not enough data to predict the Santomera lineup.
Computed on October 20, 2026 at 06:48 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mazarrón FC have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Santomera have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | UCAM Murcia II(away) | 1-5 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | SFC Minerva(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Unión Molinense(away) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Santa Cruz(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Bala Azul(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Balsicas Atlético(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Atlético Pulpileño(away) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Bullas Deportivo(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Algar(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Los Garres(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Mazarrón FC wins, 0 draws, 0 Santomera wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2026 | Mazarrón FC 5-0 Santomera | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Nov 2, 2025 | Santomera 0-1 Mazarrón FC | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
Last archived meeting: Mazarrón FC vs Santomera on Mar 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Mazarrón FC score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Santomera score 1.8 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mazarrón FC | 1.3 | 1.7 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Santomera | 1.8 | 1.4 | 2 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mazarrón FC sit 18th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 (1 point from 6 matches) and Santomera sit 1st (16 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Santomera | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 6 | 16 |
| 18 | Mazarrón FC | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 1 |
A question about Mazarrón FC vs Santomera?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mazarrón FC vs Santomera?
- The Footlab AI model makes Mazarrón FC the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for Santomera.
- Where and when is Mazarrón FC vs Santomera played?
- Mazarrón FC vs Santomera is played on March 21, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de Mazarrón, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 21, 2027El PalmarvsLos Garres
- Mar 21, 2027Atlético PulpileñovsUnión Molinense
- Mar 21, 2027Olímpico TotanavsBalsicas Atlético
- Mar 21, 2027Bala AzulvsUCAM Murcia II
- Mar 21, 2027AlcantarillavsAlgar
- Mar 21, 2027Águilas IIvsBullas Deportivo
- Mar 21, 2027Santa CruzvsSFC Minerva
- Mar 21, 2027San JaviervsCartagena LU II