Where and when is Alcantarilla vs Algar played?

Alcantarilla vs Algar is played on March 21, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Polideportivo Municipal Ángel Sornichero, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Alcantarilla vs Algar: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 13Group 13 - 27Kick-off on March 21, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Polideportivo Municipal Ángel Sornichero, Alcantarilla

Alcantarilla

Algar

The Footlab model makes Alcantarilla the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 34% for Algar. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Alcantarilla vs Algar?

A very open match: only 3 Elo points separate Alcantarilla (1,594) and Algar (1,597).

Alcantarilla win37 %

Draw29 %

Algar win34 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Alcantarilla have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Algar have 4, 2 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Alcantarilla
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 11, 2025	Atlético Pulpileño(away)	0-4	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
May 4, 2025	Águilas II(home)	2-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 27, 2025	Lorca Deportiva(away)	0-3	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 20, 2025	Santomera(home)	1-4	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 13, 2025	UCAM Murcia II(away)	0-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13

Algar
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 10, 2024	Plus Ultra(home)	4-3	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
May 5, 2024	Bullense(away)	0-5	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
May 1, 2024	Alcantarilla(home)	0-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 27, 2024	Cieza(away)	0-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 21, 2024	El Palmar(home)	3-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Alcantarilla win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Algar win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 1, 2024	Algar 0-2 Alcantarilla	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Jan 7, 2024	Alcantarilla 2-0 Algar	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13

Last archived meeting: Algar vs Alcantarilla on May 1, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

Alcantarilla score 0.5 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Algar score 1.1 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Alcantarilla	0.5	1.6	6	4/15	7/15
Algar	1.1	2.3	2	8/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Alcantarilla vs Algar?: The Footlab model makes Alcantarilla the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 34% for Algar.
Where and when is Alcantarilla vs Algar played?: Alcantarilla vs Algar is played on March 21, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Polideportivo Municipal Ángel Sornichero, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.