Match

Algar vs UCAM Murcia II: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 13Group 13 · Matchday 16Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Sánchez Luengo, El Algar

AlgarUCAM Murcia II

The Footlab AI model makes UCAM Murcia II the favourite at 84%, against 11% for a draw and 5% for Algar. The most likely score is 0-3.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 6,335 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Algar vs UCAM Murcia II?

UCAM Murcia II starts as the favourite with a 278-point Elo edge (1,909 vs 1,631).

5%11%84%
Algar winDrawUCAM Murcia II win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Algar vs UCAM Murcia II

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Algar

4-3-3
  1. AAdrian Marty
  2. AAlejandro Martin
  3. NNasta
  1. MMichel Vidal
  2. MManuel Rodriguez
  3. SSergio Jiménez
  1. CChiqui
  2. LLázaro Rubio Nicolás
  3. DDani Ruiz
  4. JJuan Gavilánez
  1. GGuillermo Yepes Moreno

UCAM Murcia II

Not enough data to predict the UCAM Murcia II lineup.

Computed on November 15, 2026 at 11:37 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Algar have 4 wins, 1 draw and 10 defeats; UCAM Murcia II have 5, 7 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Algar
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 8, 2026Alcantarilla(home)1-7Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Nov 1, 2026Águilas II(away)0-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Oct 24, 2026Mazarrón FC(home)2-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Oct 11, 2026San Javier(home)0-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Oct 4, 2026Cartagena LU II(away)2-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
UCAM Murcia II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 14, 2026Santa Cruz(away)0-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Nov 8, 2026Bala Azul(home)2-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Oct 24, 2026Alcantarilla(home)2-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Oct 11, 2026Mazarrón FC(home)5-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Oct 4, 2026Olímpico Totana(away)0-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 13

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Algar wins, 0 draws, 2 UCAM Murcia II wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 4, 2024UCAM Murcia II 3-1 AlgarTercera División RFEF - Group 13
Sep 17, 2023Algar 0-2 UCAM Murcia IITercera División RFEF - Group 13

Last archived meeting: UCAM Murcia II vs Algar on Feb 4, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

Algar score 0.9 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; UCAM Murcia II score 1.9 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 75% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Algar0.92.517/1510/15
UCAM Murcia II1.91.2311/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Algar sit 17th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 (6 points from 9 matches) and UCAM Murcia II sit 5th (15 points from 10 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5UCAM Murcia II10433181115
17Algar92076236

A question about Algar vs UCAM Murcia II?

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Algar vs UCAM Murcia II?
The Footlab AI model makes UCAM Murcia II the favourite at 84%, against 11% for a draw and 5% for Algar.
Where and when is Algar vs UCAM Murcia II played?
Algar vs UCAM Murcia II is played on December 20, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Sánchez Luengo, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 75% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Algar and UCAM Murcia II