Where and when is Algar vs UCAM Murcia II played?

Algar vs UCAM Murcia II is played on December 20, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Sánchez Luengo, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Algar vs UCAM Murcia II: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 13Group 13 - 16Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Sánchez Luengo, El Algar

Algar

UCAM Murcia II

The Footlab model makes UCAM Murcia II the favourite at 54%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for Algar. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Algar vs UCAM Murcia II?

UCAM Murcia II starts as the favourite with a 247-point Elo edge (1,841 vs 1,594).

Algar win22 %

Draw25 %

UCAM Murcia II win54 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Algar have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; UCAM Murcia II have 6, 8 and 1.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Algar
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 10, 2024	Plus Ultra(home)	4-3	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
May 5, 2024	Bullense(away)	0-5	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
May 1, 2024	Alcantarilla(home)	0-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 27, 2024	Cieza(away)	0-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 21, 2024	El Palmar(home)	3-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13

UCAM Murcia II
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	Águilas II(away)	2-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
May 3, 2026	Muleño(home)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 26, 2026	Mazarrón FC(home)	3-3	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 19, 2026	El Palmar(away)	4-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 11, 2026	Balsicas Atlético(home)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Algar win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 UCAM Murcia II win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Feb 4, 2024	UCAM Murcia II 3-1 Algar	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Sep 17, 2023	Algar 0-2 UCAM Murcia II	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13

Last archived meeting: UCAM Murcia II vs Algar on Feb 4, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

Algar score 1.1 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; UCAM Murcia II score 2.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Algar	1.1	2.3	2	8/15	10/15
UCAM Murcia II	2.3	1.3	3	11/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
6	UCAM Murcia II	34	13	16	5	55	37	55

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Algar vs UCAM Murcia II?: The Footlab model makes UCAM Murcia II the favourite at 54%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for Algar.
Where and when is Algar vs UCAM Murcia II played?: Algar vs UCAM Murcia II is played on December 20, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Sánchez Luengo, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.