Match

Atlético Pulpileño vs Los Garres: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 13Group 13 - 16Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio San Miguel, Pulpí

Atlético PulpileñoLos Garres

The Footlab model makes Atlético Pulpileño the favourite at 49%, against 31% for a draw and 21% for Los Garres. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Atlético Pulpileño vs Los Garres?

Atlético Pulpileño starts as the favourite with a 201-point Elo edge (1,780 vs 1,580).

Atlético Pulpileño win49 %
Draw31 %
Los Garres win21 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atlético Pulpileño have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Los Garres have 1, 1 and 13.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Atlético Pulpileño
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 10, 2026Mazarrón FC(home)0-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
May 3, 2026El Palmar(away)0-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 26, 2026Balsicas Atlético(home)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 19, 2026Unión Molinense(away)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 12, 2026Santa Cruz(home)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Los Garres
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 29, 2025Elche(home)0-4Copa del Rey
Oct 4, 2025Manises(home)2-0Copa del Rey
Sep 27, 2025Manises(away)0-2Copa del Rey
May 1, 2022Lorca Deportiva(home)1-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 22, 2022UD Caravaca(away)2-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 13

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 3 Atlético Pulpileño win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Los Garres win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 14, 2021Atlético Pulpileño 1-0 Los GarresTercera División RFEF - Group 13
Dec 12, 2020Los Garres 0-1 Atlético PulpileñoTercera División RFEF - Group 13
Dec 8, 2019Los Garres 0-1 Atlético PulpileñoTercera División RFEF - Group 13

Last archived meeting: Atlético Pulpileño vs Los Garres on Mar 14, 2021

How many goals should we expect?

Atlético Pulpileño score 0.9 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Los Garres score 0.5 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 33% probability of over 2.5 goals and 39% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Atlético Pulpileño0.90.885/152/15
Los Garres0.52.315/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
9Atlético Pulpileño34131110302950

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Atlético Pulpileño vs Los Garres?
The Footlab model makes Atlético Pulpileño the favourite at 49%, against 31% for a draw and 21% for Los Garres.
Where and when is Atlético Pulpileño vs Los Garres played?
Atlético Pulpileño vs Los Garres is played on December 20, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio San Miguel, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 33% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Atlético Pulpileño and Los Garres

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