Atlético Pulpileño vs Los Garres: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 13Group 13 - 16Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio San Miguel, Pulpí
The Footlab model makes Atlético Pulpileño the favourite at 49%, against 31% for a draw and 21% for Los Garres. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Atlético Pulpileño vs Los Garres?
Atlético Pulpileño starts as the favourite with a 201-point Elo edge (1,780 vs 1,580).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atlético Pulpileño have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Los Garres have 1, 1 and 13.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Mazarrón FC(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| May 3, 2026 | El Palmar(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Balsicas Atlético(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Unión Molinense(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Santa Cruz(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2025 | Elche(home) | 0-4 | Copa del Rey |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Manises(home) | 2-0 | Copa del Rey |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Manises(away) | 0-2 | Copa del Rey |
| May 1, 2022 | Lorca Deportiva(home) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 22, 2022 | UD Caravaca(away) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 3 Atlético Pulpileño win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Los Garres win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2021 | Atlético Pulpileño 1-0 Los Garres | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Dec 12, 2020 | Los Garres 0-1 Atlético Pulpileño | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Dec 8, 2019 | Los Garres 0-1 Atlético Pulpileño | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
Last archived meeting: Atlético Pulpileño vs Los Garres on Mar 14, 2021
How many goals should we expect?
Atlético Pulpileño score 0.9 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Los Garres score 0.5 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 33% probability of over 2.5 goals and 39% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlético Pulpileño | 0.9 | 0.8 | 8 | 5/15 | 2/15 |
| Los Garres | 0.5 | 2.3 | 1 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Atlético Pulpileño | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 30 | 29 | 50 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Atlético Pulpileño vs Los Garres?
- The Footlab model makes Atlético Pulpileño the favourite at 49%, against 31% for a draw and 21% for Los Garres.
- Where and when is Atlético Pulpileño vs Los Garres played?
- Atlético Pulpileño vs Los Garres is played on December 20, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio San Miguel, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 33% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 20, 2026Mazarrón FCvsÁguilas II
- Dec 20, 2026Olímpico TotanavsAlcantarilla
- Dec 20, 2026Cartagena LU IIvsBala Azul
- Dec 20, 2026AlgarvsUCAM Murcia II
- Dec 20, 2026Balsicas AtléticovsSanta Cruz
- Dec 20, 2026SantomeravsUnión Molinense
- Dec 20, 2026Bullas DeportivovsSFC Minerva
- Dec 20, 2026San JaviervsEl Palmar