Bangor 1876 vs Mold Alexandra: prediction and stats
FAW ChampionshipNorth - 16Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Nantporth Stadium, Bangor
The Footlab model makes Bangor 1876 the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Mold Alexandra. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bangor 1876 vs Mold Alexandra?
A very open match: only 12 Elo points separate Bangor 1876 (1,613) and Mold Alexandra (1,625).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bangor 1876 have 7 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats; Mold Alexandra have 10, 1 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Holyhead Hotspur(away) | 3-2 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Llanuwchllyn(home) | 5-0 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Denbigh Town(away) | 2-1 | FAW Championship |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Bala Town(home) | 1-2 | FAW Championship |
| Mar 7, 2026 | Flint Town United(away) | 1-5 | Welsh Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Buckley Town(home) | 1-0 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Holyhead Hotspur(home) | 1-0 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Guilsfield(away) | 2-3 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Caersws(home) | 2-2 | FAW Championship |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Flint Mountain(home) | 3-1 | FAW Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Bangor 1876 win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Mold Alexandra win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2025 | Mold Alexandra 6-1 Bangor 1876 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 6, 2024 | Bangor 1876 3-0 Mold Alexandra | FAW Championship |
| Mar 15, 2024 | Bangor 1876 1-0 Mold Alexandra | FAW Championship |
| Aug 19, 2023 | Mold Alexandra 3-1 Bangor 1876 | FAW Championship |
Last archived meeting: Mold Alexandra vs Bangor 1876 on Mar 29, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Bangor 1876 score 1.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Mold Alexandra score 1.6 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bangor 1876 | 1.9 | 1.7 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Mold Alexandra | 1.6 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bangor 1876 sit 3rd in FAW Championship (9 points from 4 matches) and Mold Alexandra sit 6th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Bangor 1876 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 9 |
| 6 | Mold Alexandra | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bangor 1876 vs Mold Alexandra?
- The Footlab model makes Bangor 1876 the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Mold Alexandra.
- Where and when is Bangor 1876 vs Mold Alexandra played?
- Bangor 1876 vs Mold Alexandra is played on November 28, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Nantporth Stadium, in the FAW Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.