Bansko vs Natsional Sofia: prediction and stats
Third League - SouthwestSouthwest - 19Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Sveti Petar, Bansko
The Footlab AI model makes Bansko the favourite at 60%, against 22% for a draw and 18% for Natsional Sofia. The most likely score is 1-1. If Bansko wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bansko vs Natsional Sofia?
On Elo ratings, Bansko has 1,475 points and Natsional Sofia 1,396.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Bansko vs Natsional Sofia
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Bansko
4-3-3- KK. Vasilev
- MM. Zlatkov
- VV. Veskov
- MM. Georgiev
- BB. Galchev
- DD. Angelov
- YY. Lechov
- BB. Bozhinov
- MM. Dimitrov
- NN. Mitsanski
- AA. Tapigyozov
Natsional Sofia
Not enough data to predict the Natsional Sofia lineup.
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 02:43 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bansko have 10 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats; Natsional Sofia have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 7, 2026 | Botev Ihtiman(home) | 1-0 | Third League - Southwest |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Kyustendil(away) | 3-0 | Third League - Southwest |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Septemvri Simitli(home) | 3-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Strumska Slava(away) | 0-3 | Third League - Southwest |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Oborishte(home) | 0-4 | Third League - Southwest |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Slivnishki geroy(away) | 0-2 | Third League - Southwest |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Septemvri Sofia II(home) | 1-2 | Third League - Southwest |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa(home) | 1-3 | Cup |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Levski Sofia II(away) | 0-0 | Third League - Southwest |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Slavia Sofia II(home) | 2-0 | Third League - Southwest |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Bansko wins, 1 draw, 0 Natsional Sofia wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Natsional Sofia 2-2 Bansko | Third League - Southwest |
Last archived meeting: Natsional Sofia vs Bansko on Aug 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Bansko score 1.8 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Natsional Sofia score 2.5 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bansko | 1.8 | 1.2 | 5 | 7/15 | 11/15 |
| Natsional Sofia | 2.5 | 1.9 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bansko sit 3rd in Third League - Southwest (22 points from 10 matches) and Natsional Sofia sit 17th (7 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Bansko | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 13 | 22 |
| 17 | Natsional Sofia | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 20 | 7 |
A question about Bansko vs Natsional Sofia?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bansko vs Natsional Sofia?
- The Footlab AI model makes Bansko the favourite at 60%, against 22% for a draw and 18% for Natsional Sofia.
- Where and when is Bansko vs Natsional Sofia played?
- Bansko vs Natsional Sofia is played on November 28, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Sveti Petar, in the Third League - Southwest.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 28, 2026OborishtevsChavdar Etropole
- Nov 28, 2026Strumska SlavavsCSKA Sofia III
- Nov 28, 2026Botev IhtimanvsSlivnishki geroy
- Nov 28, 2026FK Minyor PernikvsPirin Razlog
- Nov 28, 2026KyustendilvsKostinbrod
- Nov 28, 2026Septemvri SimitlivsBalkan Botevgrad
- Nov 28, 2026Levski Sofia IIvsBelasitsa
- Nov 28, 2026Slavia Sofia IIvsSeptemvri Sofia II