Match

Kyustendil vs Kostinbrod: prediction and stats

Third League - SouthwestSouthwest - 19Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Osogovo, Kyustendil

KyustendilKostinbrod

The Footlab AI model makes Kyustendil the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 30% for Kostinbrod. The most likely score is 1-1. If Kyustendil wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,401 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Kyustendil vs Kostinbrod?

A very open match: only 33 Elo points separate Kyustendil (1,397) and Kostinbrod (1,430).

41%29%30%
Kyustendil winDrawKostinbrod win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Kyustendil vs Kostinbrod

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Kyustendil

4-3-3
  1. AAleksandar Krasimirov Aleksandrov
  2. SS. Blagoev
  3. PPlamen Plamenov Petrov
  1. DD. Mladenov
  2. TT. Stoichkov
  3. DD. Gogov
  1. DD. Iliev
  2. AA. Ademov
  3. GG. Kupenov
  4. BB. Stoynev
  1. II. Topalov

Kostinbrod

Not enough data to predict the Kostinbrod lineup.

Computed on October 15, 2026 at 01:47 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kyustendil have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Kostinbrod have 7, 1 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Kyustendil
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 7, 2026Oborishte(away)2-2Third League - Southwest
Sep 26, 2026Bansko(home)0-3Third League - Southwest
Sep 19, 2026FK Minyor Pernik(away)0-2Third League - Southwest
Sep 12, 2026Pirin Razlog(home)0-1Third League - Southwest
Sep 5, 2026Natsional Sofia(away)1-1Third League - Southwest
Kostinbrod
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Chavdar Etropole(home)5-0Third League - Southwest
Oct 3, 2026CSKA Sofia III(away)0-1Third League - Southwest
Sep 26, 2026Balkan Botevgrad(home)0-1Third League - Southwest
Sep 19, 2026Belasitsa(away)1-0Third League - Southwest
Sep 12, 2026Slivnishki geroy(away)3-0Third League - Southwest

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Kyustendil wins, 0 draws, 4 Kostinbrod wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 8, 2026Kostinbrod 3-1 KyustendilThird League - Southwest
Apr 25, 2026Kostinbrod 2-1 KyustendilThird League - Southwest
Oct 11, 2025Kyustendil 0-2 KostinbrodThird League - Southwest
Jun 1, 2024Kostinbrod 1-0 KyustendilThird League - Southwest
Nov 18, 2023Kyustendil 3-1 KostinbrodThird League - Southwest
Mar 11, 2023Kyustendil 2-1 KostinbrodThird League - Southwest

Last archived meeting: Kostinbrod vs Kyustendil on Aug 8, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Kyustendil score 0.9 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Kostinbrod score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Kyustendil0.91.828/157/15
Kostinbrod1.31.146/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Kyustendil sit 16th in Third League - Southwest (9 points from 10 matches) and Kostinbrod sit 7th (18 points from 11 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
7Kostinbrod11605161018
16Kyustendil1023510169

A question about Kyustendil vs Kostinbrod?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Kyustendil vs Kostinbrod?
The Footlab AI model makes Kyustendil the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 30% for Kostinbrod.
Where and when is Kyustendil vs Kostinbrod played?
Kyustendil vs Kostinbrod is played on November 28, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Osogovo, in the Third League - Southwest.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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