Where and when is Kyustendil vs Kostinbrod played?

Kyustendil vs Kostinbrod is played on November 28, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Osogovo, in the Third League - Southwest.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Kyustendil vs Kostinbrod: prediction and stats

Third League - SouthwestSouthwest - 19Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Osogovo, Kyustendil

Kyustendil

Kostinbrod

The Footlab model makes Kyustendil the favourite at 54%, against 26% for a draw and 20% for Kostinbrod. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Kyustendil vs Kostinbrod?

A very open match: only 13 Elo points separate Kyustendil (1,450) and Kostinbrod (1,437).

Kyustendil win54 %

Draw26 %

Kostinbrod win20 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kyustendil have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Kostinbrod have 6, 2 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Kyustendil
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	CSKA Sofia III(away)	1-1	Third League - Southwest
Aug 15, 2026	Balkan Botevgrad(home)	0-1	Third League - Southwest
Aug 8, 2026	Kostinbrod(away)	1-3	Third League - Southwest
Aug 1, 2026	Slivnishki geroy(home)	2-1	Third League - Southwest
May 29, 2026	Septemvri Simitli(away)	0-2	Third League - Southwest

Kostinbrod
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Slavia Sofia II(home)	1-0	Third League - Southwest
Aug 15, 2026	Botev Ihtiman(away)	0-1	Third League - Southwest
Aug 8, 2026	Kyustendil(home)	3-1	Third League - Southwest
Aug 1, 2026	Septemvri Simitli(away)	0-2	Third League - Southwest
May 30, 2026	CSKA Sofia III(away)	0-1	Third League - Southwest

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Kyustendil win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Kostinbrod win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Aug 8, 2026	Kostinbrod 3-1 Kyustendil	Third League - Southwest
Apr 25, 2026	Kostinbrod 2-1 Kyustendil	Third League - Southwest
Oct 11, 2025	Kyustendil 0-2 Kostinbrod	Third League - Southwest
Jun 1, 2024	Kostinbrod 1-0 Kyustendil	Third League - Southwest
Nov 18, 2023	Kyustendil 3-1 Kostinbrod	Third League - Southwest
Mar 11, 2023	Kyustendil 2-1 Kostinbrod	Third League - Southwest

Last archived meeting: Kostinbrod vs Kyustendil on Aug 8, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Kyustendil score 0.7 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Kostinbrod score 0.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Kyustendil	0.7	1.6	4	8/15	7/15
Kostinbrod	0.9	1.3	4	5/15	6/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Kyustendil sit 15th in Third League - Southwest (4 points from 4 matches) and Kostinbrod sit 10th (6 points from 4 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
10	Kostinbrod	4	2	0	2	4	4	6
15	Kyustendil	4	1	1	2	4	6	4

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Kyustendil vs Kostinbrod?: The Footlab model makes Kyustendil the favourite at 54%, against 26% for a draw and 20% for Kostinbrod.
Where and when is Kyustendil vs Kostinbrod played?: Kyustendil vs Kostinbrod is played on November 28, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Osogovo, in the Third League - Southwest.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.