Strumska Slava vs CSKA Sofia III: prediction and stats
Third League - SouthwestSouthwest - 19Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Gradski stadion, Radomir
The Footlab model makes Strumska Slava the favourite at 54%, against 25% for a draw and 21% for CSKA Sofia III. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Strumska Slava vs CSKA Sofia III?
A very open match: only 73 Elo points separate Strumska Slava (1,563) and CSKA Sofia III (1,490).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Strumska Slava have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; CSKA Sofia III have 6, 7 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Natsional Sofia(away) | 3-0 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Chavdar Etropole(home) | 2-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | CSKA Sofia III(away) | 0-0 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Balkan Botevgrad(home) | 2-0 | Third League - Southwest |
| May 30, 2026 | Pirin Razlog(away) | 1-2 | Third League - Southwest |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kyustendil(home) | 1-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Septemvri Simitli(away) | 0-0 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Strumska Slava(home) | 0-0 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Oborishte(away) | 1-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| May 30, 2026 | Kostinbrod(home) | 1-0 | Third League - Southwest |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Strumska Slava win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 CSKA Sofia III win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | CSKA Sofia III 0-0 Strumska Slava | Third League - Southwest |
| May 2, 2026 | CSKA Sofia III 1-1 Strumska Slava | Third League - Southwest |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Strumska Slava 3-1 CSKA Sofia III | Third League - Southwest |
Last archived meeting: CSKA Sofia III vs Strumska Slava on Aug 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Strumska Slava score 1.6 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; CSKA Sofia III score 1.1 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strumska Slava | 1.6 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| CSKA Sofia III | 1.1 | 0.7 | 7 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Strumska Slava sit 2nd in Third League - Southwest (10 points from 4 matches) and CSKA Sofia III sit 12th (4 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Strumska Slava | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 10 |
| 12 | CSKA Sofia III | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Strumska Slava vs CSKA Sofia III?
- The Footlab model makes Strumska Slava the favourite at 54%, against 25% for a draw and 21% for CSKA Sofia III.
- Where and when is Strumska Slava vs CSKA Sofia III played?
- Strumska Slava vs CSKA Sofia III is played on November 28, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Gradski stadion, in the Third League - Southwest.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 28, 2026BanskovsNatsional Sofia
- Nov 28, 2026OborishtevsChavdar Etropole
- Nov 28, 2026Botev IhtimanvsSlivnishki geroy
- Nov 28, 2026FK Minyor PernikvsPirin Razlog
- Nov 28, 2026KyustendilvsKostinbrod
- Nov 28, 2026Septemvri SimitlivsBalkan Botevgrad
- Nov 28, 2026Levski Sofia IIvsBelasitsa
- Nov 28, 2026Slavia Sofia IIvsSeptemvri Sofia II