Where and when is Oborishte vs Chavdar Etropole played?

Oborishte vs Chavdar Etropole is played on November 28, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Orcho voyvoda, in the Third League - Southwest.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Oborishte vs Chavdar Etropole: prediction and stats

Third League - SouthwestSouthwest - 19Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Orcho voyvoda, Panagyurishte

Oborishte

Chavdar Etropole

The Footlab model makes Oborishte the favourite at 55%, against 24% for a draw and 21% for Chavdar Etropole. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Oborishte vs Chavdar Etropole?

A very open match: only 69 Elo points separate Oborishte (1,530) and Chavdar Etropole (1,599).

Oborishte win55 %

Draw24 %

Chavdar Etropole win21 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Oborishte have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Chavdar Etropole have 9, 2 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Oborishte
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Pirin Razlog(away)	4-2	Third League - Southwest
Aug 15, 2026	Natsional Sofia(home)	3-1	Third League - Southwest
Aug 8, 2026	Chavdar Etropole(away)	1-1	Third League - Southwest
Aug 1, 2026	CSKA Sofia III(home)	1-1	Third League - Southwest
May 30, 2026	Germaneya(home)	5-1	Third League - Southwest

Chavdar Etropole
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Septemvri Simitli(home)	4-2	Third League - Southwest
Aug 15, 2026	Strumska Slava(away)	1-2	Third League - Southwest
Aug 8, 2026	Oborishte(home)	1-1	Third League - Southwest
Aug 1, 2026	Bansko(away)	0-3	Third League - Southwest
Feb 17, 2024	CSKA Sofia II(away)	0-3	Third League - Southwest

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Oborishte win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Chavdar Etropole win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Aug 8, 2026	Chavdar Etropole 1-1 Oborishte	Third League - Southwest
Nov 18, 2023	Chavdar Etropole 8-0 Oborishte	Third League - Southwest
Mar 16, 2022	Chavdar Etropole 1-0 Oborishte	Third League - Southwest
Aug 21, 2021	Oborishte 3-1 Chavdar Etropole	Third League - Southwest
May 22, 2021	Chavdar Etropole 2-3 Oborishte	Third League - Southwest
Nov 21, 2020	Oborishte 3-4 Chavdar Etropole	Third League - Southwest

Last archived meeting: Chavdar Etropole vs Oborishte on Aug 8, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Oborishte score 1.6 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Chavdar Etropole score 2.2 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Oborishte	1.6	1.1	3	9/15	7/15
Chavdar Etropole	2.2	1.1	6	7/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Oborishte sit 3rd in Third League - Southwest (8 points from 4 matches) and Chavdar Etropole sit 14th (4 points from 4 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
3	Oborishte	4	2	2	0	9	5	8
14	Chavdar Etropole	4	1	1	2	6	8	4

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Oborishte vs Chavdar Etropole?: The Footlab model makes Oborishte the favourite at 55%, against 24% for a draw and 21% for Chavdar Etropole.
Where and when is Oborishte vs Chavdar Etropole played?: Oborishte vs Chavdar Etropole is played on November 28, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Orcho voyvoda, in the Third League - Southwest.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.