Oborishte vs Chavdar Etropole: prediction and stats
Third League - SouthwestSouthwest - 19Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Orcho voyvoda, Panagyurishte
The Footlab AI model makes Oborishte the favourite at 78%, against 14% for a draw and 8% for Chavdar Etropole. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,495 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Oborishte vs Chavdar Etropole?
On Elo ratings, Oborishte has 1,517 points and Chavdar Etropole 1,467.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Oborishte vs Chavdar Etropole
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Oborishte
4-3-3- PP. Petkov
- GGeorgi Netov
- GG. Anev
- MM. Sandov
- DDimitar Pantaleev
- MM. Valchinov
- SS. Georgiev
- SS. Stefanov
- AA. Hristov
- II. Velikov
- MM. Matev
Chavdar Etropole
4-3-3- NN. Botev
- NN. Ivanov
- SS. Sotirov
- AA. Gushterov
- TT. Stoichkov
- SS. Alichkov
- MM. Vasilev
- HH. Kaymakanski
- EE. Trendafilov
- GG. Yurukov
- SS. Petrov
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 11:59 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Oborishte have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Chavdar Etropole have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 7, 2026 | Kyustendil(home) | 2-2 | Third League - Southwest |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Yantra 2019(home) | 1-3 | Cup |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Septemvri Simitli(away) | 3-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Strumska Slava(home) | 3-2 | Third League - Southwest |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Belasitsa(home) | 1-0 | Third League - Southwest |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Kostinbrod(away) | 0-5 | Third League - Southwest |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Slivnishki geroy(home) | 2-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Septemvri Sofia II(away) | 1-0 | Third League - Southwest |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Levski Sofia II(home) | 1-3 | Third League - Southwest |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Slavia Sofia II(away) | 0-4 | Third League - Southwest |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Oborishte wins, 1 draw, 3 Chavdar Etropole wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Chavdar Etropole 1-1 Oborishte | Third League - Southwest |
| Nov 18, 2023 | Chavdar Etropole 8-0 Oborishte | Third League - Southwest |
| Mar 16, 2022 | Chavdar Etropole 1-0 Oborishte | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 21, 2021 | Oborishte 3-1 Chavdar Etropole | Third League - Southwest |
| May 22, 2021 | Chavdar Etropole 2-3 Oborishte | Third League - Southwest |
| Nov 21, 2020 | Oborishte 3-4 Chavdar Etropole | Third League - Southwest |
Last archived meeting: Chavdar Etropole vs Oborishte on Aug 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Oborishte score 2.2 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Chavdar Etropole score 1.9 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oborishte | 2.2 | 1.2 | 3 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
| Chavdar Etropole | 1.9 | 2.1 | 4 | 7/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Oborishte sit 2nd in Third League - Southwest (22 points from 10 matches) and Chavdar Etropole sit 15th (10 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Oborishte | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 22 | 10 | 22 |
| 15 | Chavdar Etropole | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 28 | 10 |
A question about Oborishte vs Chavdar Etropole?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Oborishte vs Chavdar Etropole?
- The Footlab AI model makes Oborishte the favourite at 78%, against 14% for a draw and 8% for Chavdar Etropole.
- Where and when is Oborishte vs Chavdar Etropole played?
- Oborishte vs Chavdar Etropole is played on November 28, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Orcho voyvoda, in the Third League - Southwest.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 28, 2026BanskovsNatsional Sofia
- Nov 28, 2026Strumska SlavavsCSKA Sofia III
- Nov 28, 2026Botev IhtimanvsSlivnishki geroy
- Nov 28, 2026FK Minyor PernikvsPirin Razlog
- Nov 28, 2026KyustendilvsKostinbrod
- Nov 28, 2026Septemvri SimitlivsBalkan Botevgrad
- Nov 28, 2026Levski Sofia IIvsBelasitsa
- Nov 28, 2026Slavia Sofia IIvsSeptemvri Sofia II