Where and when is Septemvri Simitli vs Balkan Botevgrad played?

Septemvri Simitli vs Balkan Botevgrad is played on November 28, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Struma, in the Third League - Southwest.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Septemvri Simitli vs Balkan Botevgrad: prediction and stats

Third League - SouthwestSouthwest - 19Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Struma, Simitli

Septemvri Simitli

Balkan Botevgrad

The Footlab model makes Septemvri Simitli the favourite at 55%, against 26% for a draw and 19% for Balkan Botevgrad. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Septemvri Simitli vs Balkan Botevgrad?

A very open match: only 6 Elo points separate Septemvri Simitli (1,489) and Balkan Botevgrad (1,484).

Septemvri Simitli win55 %

Draw26 %

Balkan Botevgrad win19 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Septemvri Simitli have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Balkan Botevgrad have 6, 4 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Septemvri Simitli
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Chavdar Etropole(away)	2-4	Third League - Southwest
Aug 15, 2026	CSKA Sofia III(home)	0-0	Third League - Southwest
Aug 8, 2026	Balkan Botevgrad(away)	2-1	Third League - Southwest
Aug 1, 2026	Kostinbrod(home)	2-0	Third League - Southwest
May 29, 2026	Kyustendil(home)	2-0	Third League - Southwest

Balkan Botevgrad
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Botev Ihtiman(home)	1-0	Third League - Southwest
Aug 15, 2026	Kyustendil(away)	1-0	Third League - Southwest
Aug 8, 2026	Septemvri Simitli(home)	1-2	Third League - Southwest
Aug 1, 2026	Strumska Slava(away)	0-2	Third League - Southwest
May 29, 2026	Bansko(away)	2-0	Third League - Southwest

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Septemvri Simitli win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Balkan Botevgrad win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Aug 8, 2026	Balkan Botevgrad 1-2 Septemvri Simitli	Third League - Southwest
Apr 24, 2026	Balkan Botevgrad 1-0 Septemvri Simitli	Third League - Southwest
Oct 11, 2025	Septemvri Simitli 0-0 Balkan Botevgrad	Third League - Southwest
May 3, 2025	Septemvri Simitli 4-3 Balkan Botevgrad	Third League - Southwest
Oct 12, 2024	Balkan Botevgrad 2-1 Septemvri Simitli	Third League - Southwest
Jun 6, 2024	Septemvri Simitli 2-2 Balkan Botevgrad	Third League - Southwest

Last archived meeting: Balkan Botevgrad vs Septemvri Simitli on Aug 8, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Septemvri Simitli score 1.4 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Balkan Botevgrad score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Septemvri Simitli	1.4	0.9	7	5/15	6/15
Balkan Botevgrad	1.3	1.1	7	6/15	5/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Septemvri Simitli sit 6th in Third League - Southwest (7 points from 4 matches) and Balkan Botevgrad sit 11th (6 points from 4 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
6	Septemvri Simitli	4	2	1	1	6	5	7
11	Balkan Botevgrad	4	2	0	2	3	4	6

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Septemvri Simitli vs Balkan Botevgrad?: The Footlab model makes Septemvri Simitli the favourite at 55%, against 26% for a draw and 19% for Balkan Botevgrad.
Where and when is Septemvri Simitli vs Balkan Botevgrad played?: Septemvri Simitli vs Balkan Botevgrad is played on November 28, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Struma, in the Third League - Southwest.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.