Match

Septemvri Simitli vs Balkan Botevgrad: prediction and stats

Third League - SouthwestSouthwest - 19Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Struma, Simitli

Septemvri SimitliBalkan Botevgrad

The Footlab AI model makes Septemvri Simitli the favourite at 51%, against 28% for a draw and 21% for Balkan Botevgrad. The most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,829 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 29, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Septemvri Simitli vs Balkan Botevgrad?

On Elo ratings, Septemvri Simitli has 1,438 points and Balkan Botevgrad 1,459.

51%28%21%
Septemvri Simitli winDrawBalkan Botevgrad win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Septemvri Simitli vs Balkan Botevgrad

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Septemvri Simitli

4-3-3
  1. GG. Bozhilov
  2. NN. Chibout
  3. VV. Zlatinov
  1. HH. Mladenov
  2. FF. Angelov
  3. JJ. Da Sylva
  1. KK. Mihaylov
  2. DD. Mitev
  3. PP. Kepov
  4. SS. Kosov
  1. FF. Dimitrov

Balkan Botevgrad

4-3-3
  1. NN. Mikov
  2. KK. Bonev
  3. DD. Ganchev
  1. EE. Kolev
  2. PPavel Georgiev Petkov
  3. AAleksandar Asenov
  1. ZZ. Atanasov
  2. DD. Yordanov
  3. DD. Ruychev
  4. LL. Karanikolov
  1. VV. Valchev

Computed on October 29, 2026 at 05:34 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Septemvri Simitli have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Balkan Botevgrad have 7, 1 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Septemvri Simitli
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 28, 2026Slavia Sofia II(home)1-1Third League - Southwest
Oct 24, 2026Botev Ihtiman(away)2-2Third League - Southwest
Oct 10, 2026Belasitsa(home)1-1Third League - Southwest
Oct 3, 2026Strumska Slava(away)2-1Third League - Southwest
Sep 26, 2026Oborishte(home)1-3Third League - Southwest
Balkan Botevgrad
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 28, 2026Pirin Razlog(away)5-0Third League - Southwest
Oct 24, 2026Natsional Sofia(home)1-3Third League - Southwest
Oct 17, 2026Chavdar Etropole(away)0-1Third League - Southwest
Oct 10, 2026CSKA Sofia III(home)1-0Third League - Southwest
Oct 7, 2026Belasitsa(away)2-1Third League - Southwest

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Septemvri Simitli wins, 2 draws, 2 Balkan Botevgrad wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 8, 2026Balkan Botevgrad 1-2 Septemvri SimitliThird League - Southwest
Apr 24, 2026Balkan Botevgrad 1-0 Septemvri SimitliThird League - Southwest
Oct 11, 2025Septemvri Simitli 0-0 Balkan BotevgradThird League - Southwest
May 3, 2025Septemvri Simitli 4-3 Balkan BotevgradThird League - Southwest
Oct 12, 2024Balkan Botevgrad 2-1 Septemvri SimitliThird League - Southwest
Jun 6, 2024Septemvri Simitli 2-2 Balkan BotevgradThird League - Southwest

Last archived meeting: Balkan Botevgrad vs Septemvri Simitli on Aug 8, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Septemvri Simitli score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Balkan Botevgrad score 1.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Septemvri Simitli1.31.5410/157/15
Balkan Botevgrad1.11.164/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Septemvri Simitli sit 13th in Third League - Southwest (15 points from 13 matches) and Balkan Botevgrad sit 4th (22 points from 14 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Balkan Botevgrad14716161422
13Septemvri Simitli13364182215

A question about Septemvri Simitli vs Balkan Botevgrad?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Septemvri Simitli vs Balkan Botevgrad?
The Footlab AI model makes Septemvri Simitli the favourite at 51%, against 28% for a draw and 21% for Balkan Botevgrad.
Where and when is Septemvri Simitli vs Balkan Botevgrad played?
Septemvri Simitli vs Balkan Botevgrad is played on November 28, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Struma, in the Third League - Southwest.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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