FK Minyor Pernik vs Pirin Razlog: prediction and stats
Third League - SouthwestSouthwest - 19Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Minyor, Pernik
The Footlab model makes FK Minyor Pernik the favourite at 64%, against 21% for a draw and 15% for Pirin Razlog. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FK Minyor Pernik vs Pirin Razlog?
FK Minyor Pernik starts as the favourite with a 149-point Elo edge (1,516 vs 1,366).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FK Minyor Pernik have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Pirin Razlog have 6, 0 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bansko(home) | 1-2 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Belasitsa(home) | 1-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Pirin Razlog(away) | 3-0 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Natsional Sofia(home) | 1-0 | Third League - Southwest |
| May 23, 2026 | Dunav Ruse(home) | 1-2 | Second League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Oborishte(home) | 2-4 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Bansko(away) | 1-3 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FK Minyor Pernik(home) | 0-3 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Belasitsa(home) | 1-3 | Third League - Southwest |
| May 30, 2026 | Strumska Slava(home) | 2-1 | Third League - Southwest |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 FK Minyor Pernik win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Pirin Razlog win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Pirin Razlog 0-3 FK Minyor Pernik | Third League - Southwest |
| Apr 20, 2024 | FK Minyor Pernik 2-0 Pirin Razlog | Third League - Southwest |
| Sep 30, 2023 | Pirin Razlog 0-1 FK Minyor Pernik | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 17, 2019 | Pirin Razlog 0-3 FK Minyor Pernik | Third League - Southwest |
| Apr 10, 2019 | FK Minyor Pernik 3-1 Pirin Razlog | Third League - Southwest |
| Sep 29, 2018 | Pirin Razlog 2-2 FK Minyor Pernik | Third League - Southwest |
Last archived meeting: Pirin Razlog vs FK Minyor Pernik on Aug 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
FK Minyor Pernik score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Pirin Razlog score 1.3 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FK Minyor Pernik | 1.3 | 1.5 | 4 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Pirin Razlog | 1.3 | 1.9 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FK Minyor Pernik sit 4th in Third League - Southwest (7 points from 4 matches) and Pirin Razlog sit 18th (0 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | FK Minyor Pernik | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 7 |
| 18 | Pirin Razlog | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FK Minyor Pernik vs Pirin Razlog?
- The Footlab model makes FK Minyor Pernik the favourite at 64%, against 21% for a draw and 15% for Pirin Razlog.
- Where and when is FK Minyor Pernik vs Pirin Razlog played?
- FK Minyor Pernik vs Pirin Razlog is played on November 28, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Minyor, in the Third League - Southwest.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 28, 2026BanskovsNatsional Sofia
- Nov 28, 2026OborishtevsChavdar Etropole
- Nov 28, 2026Strumska SlavavsCSKA Sofia III
- Nov 28, 2026Botev IhtimanvsSlivnishki geroy
- Nov 28, 2026KyustendilvsKostinbrod
- Nov 28, 2026Septemvri SimitlivsBalkan Botevgrad
- Nov 28, 2026Levski Sofia IIvsBelasitsa
- Nov 28, 2026Slavia Sofia IIvsSeptemvri Sofia II