Botev Ihtiman vs Slivnishki geroy: prediction and stats
Third League - SouthwestSouthwest - 19Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Gradski stadion, Ihtiman
The Footlab model makes Botev Ihtiman the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for Slivnishki geroy. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Botev Ihtiman vs Slivnishki geroy?
A very open match: only 49 Elo points separate Botev Ihtiman (1,469) and Slivnishki geroy (1,420).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Botev Ihtiman have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Slivnishki geroy have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Balkan Botevgrad(away) | 0-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kostinbrod(home) | 1-0 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Slivnishki geroy(away) | 3-2 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Septemvri Sofia II(home) | 1-2 | Third League - Southwest |
| May 30, 2026 | Vitosha Bistritsa(home) | 3-0 | Third League - Southwest |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Levski Sofia II(home) | 1-0 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Slavia Sofia II(away) | 2-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Botev Ihtiman(home) | 2-3 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kyustendil(away) | 1-2 | Third League - Southwest |
| May 30, 2026 | Slavia Sofia II(home) | 0-3 | Third League - Southwest |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Botev Ihtiman win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Slivnishki geroy win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Slivnishki geroy 2-3 Botev Ihtiman | Third League - Southwest |
| Mar 7, 2026 | Slivnishki geroy 3-3 Botev Ihtiman | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Botev Ihtiman 1-1 Slivnishki geroy | Third League - Southwest |
| May 10, 2025 | Botev Ihtiman 2-0 Slivnishki geroy | Third League - Southwest |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Slivnishki geroy 3-0 Botev Ihtiman | Third League - Southwest |
| Mar 9, 2024 | Slivnishki geroy 1-2 Botev Ihtiman | Third League - Southwest |
Last archived meeting: Slivnishki geroy vs Botev Ihtiman on Aug 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Botev Ihtiman score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Slivnishki geroy score 1.5 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Botev Ihtiman | 1.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Slivnishki geroy | 1.5 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Botev Ihtiman sit 9th in Third League - Southwest (6 points from 4 matches) and Slivnishki geroy sit 8th (6 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Slivnishki geroy | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 6 |
| 9 | Botev Ihtiman | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Botev Ihtiman vs Slivnishki geroy?
- The Footlab model makes Botev Ihtiman the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for Slivnishki geroy.
- Where and when is Botev Ihtiman vs Slivnishki geroy played?
- Botev Ihtiman vs Slivnishki geroy is played on November 28, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Gradski stadion, in the Third League - Southwest.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 28, 2026BanskovsNatsional Sofia
- Nov 28, 2026OborishtevsChavdar Etropole
- Nov 28, 2026Strumska SlavavsCSKA Sofia III
- Nov 28, 2026FK Minyor PernikvsPirin Razlog
- Nov 28, 2026KyustendilvsKostinbrod
- Nov 28, 2026Septemvri SimitlivsBalkan Botevgrad
- Nov 28, 2026Levski Sofia IIvsBelasitsa
- Nov 28, 2026Slavia Sofia IIvsSeptemvri Sofia II