Where and when is Real Unión vs Barakaldo played?

Real Unión vs Barakaldo is played on April 11, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Gal, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Real Unión vs Barakaldo: prediction and stats

Primera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 32Kick-off on April 11, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Gal, Irún

Real Unión

Barakaldo

The Footlab model makes Real Unión the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 26% for Barakaldo. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Real Unión vs Barakaldo?

A very open match: only 17 Elo points separate Real Unión (1,973) and Barakaldo (1,956).

Real Unión win45 %

Draw28 %

Barakaldo win26 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Real Unión have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Barakaldo have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Real Unión
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 8, 2026	Eibar(home)	1-1	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026	PAU(away)	2-1	Friendlies Clubs
May 1, 2026	Alfaro(home)	2-0	Segunda División RFEF - Group 2
Apr 26, 2026	Real Zaragoza II(away)	1-3	Segunda División RFEF - Group 2
Apr 18, 2026	Amorebieta(home)	3-3	Segunda División RFEF - Group 2

Barakaldo
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 14, 2026	Portugalete(away)	0-2	Friendlies Clubs
May 23, 2026	Celta de Vigo II(home)	1-1	Primera División RFEF - Group 1
May 17, 2026	Real Avilés(away)	4-1	Primera División RFEF - Group 1
May 9, 2026	Mérida AD(home)	2-0	Primera División RFEF - Group 1
May 1, 2026	Tenerife(away)	0-2	Primera División RFEF - Group 1

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Real Unión win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Barakaldo win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Feb 2, 2025	Barakaldo 0-2 Real Unión	Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 13, 2024	Real Unión 1-1 Barakaldo	Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Aug 14, 2024	Real Unión 0-1 Barakaldo	Friendlies Clubs
Feb 13, 2021	Barakaldo 3-0 Real Unión	Primera División RFEF - Group 2
Nov 15, 2020	Real Unión 2-1 Barakaldo	Primera División RFEF - Group 2
Dec 8, 2019	Barakaldo 2-1 Real Unión	Primera División RFEF - Group 2

Last archived meeting: Barakaldo vs Real Unión on Feb 2, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Real Unión score 2.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Barakaldo score 1.3 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Real Unión	2.3	1.5	4	10/15	13/15
Barakaldo	1.3	0.9	6	5/15	5/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
7	Barakaldo	38	15	13	10	51	38	58

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Real Unión vs Barakaldo?: The Footlab model makes Real Unión the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 26% for Barakaldo.
Where and when is Real Unión vs Barakaldo played?: Real Unión vs Barakaldo is played on April 11, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Gal, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.