Match

CD Coria vs Mérida AD: prediction and stats

Primera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 32Kick-off on April 11, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio La Isla, Coria

CD CoriaMérida AD

The Footlab AI model makes CD Coria the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Mérida AD. The most likely score is 1-1. If CD Coria wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,451 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win CD Coria vs Mérida AD?

A very open match: only 36 Elo points separate CD Coria (1,921) and Mérida AD (1,885).

47%27%26%
CD Coria winDrawMérida AD win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for CD Coria vs Mérida AD

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

CD Coria

4-3-3
  1. 17Álex Blanco
  2. 9P. Palacin
  3. 7Iván Ramos
  1. 18J. Gallastegi
  2. 8Edu Llorente
  3. 10S. Gomez
  1. 20Iñaki León
  2. 3Jacobo Guzmán
  3. 23A. Dominguez
  4. 22B. Núñez
  1. 1Aarón Rodríguez

Mérida AD

4-3-3
  1. 21Raúl Beneit
  2. 19D. Sandoval
  3. 11S. El Ftouhi
  1. 6Jota
  2. 23Geovanny Almeida
  3. 8Martín Solar
  1. 2Alejandro Agustín
  2. 4Gonzalez Nacho
  3. 16Fito
  4. 5Hugo Sanz
  1. 1A. Csenterics

Computed on October 16, 2026 at 05:34 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, CD Coria have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Mérida AD have 5, 1 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

CD Coria
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Extremadura 1924(home)2-4Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 4, 2026Zamora(away)0-2Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 26, 2026Cultural Leonesa(away)2-2Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 19, 2026Real Avilés(home)1-1Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 13, 2026Lugo(away)0-1Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Mérida AD
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Pontevedra(away)2-1Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 4, 2026Cacereño(home)2-0Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 27, 2026UD Logroñés(home)3-5Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 19, 2026Ponferradina(away)0-1Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 12, 2026Mirandes(home)3-4Primera División RFEF - Group 1

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 1 CD Coria win, 2 draws, 0 Mérida AD wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 27, 2022CD Coria 1-1 Mérida ADSegunda División RFEF - Group 4
Oct 10, 2021Mérida AD 0-1 CD CoriaSegunda División RFEF - Group 4
Aug 14, 2021Mérida AD 0-0 CD CoriaFriendlies Clubs

Last archived meeting: CD Coria vs Mérida AD on Feb 27, 2022

How many goals should we expect?

CD Coria score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Mérida AD score 1.1 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
CD Coria1.51.558/158/15
Mérida AD1.11.926/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

CD Coria sit 18th in Primera División RFEF - Group 1 (5 points from 7 matches) and Mérida AD sit 12th (9 points from 7 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
12Mérida AD730411129
18CD Coria712410155

A question about CD Coria vs Mérida AD?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for CD Coria vs Mérida AD?
The Footlab AI model makes CD Coria the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Mérida AD.
Where and when is CD Coria vs Mérida AD played?
CD Coria vs Mérida AD is played on April 11, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio La Isla, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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