Match

Barakaldo vs Zamora: prediction and stats

Primera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 29Kick-off on March 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Nuevo Lasesarre, Barakaldo

BarakaldoZamora

The Footlab AI model makes Barakaldo the favourite at 42%, against 31% for a draw and 27% for Zamora. The most likely score is 1-1. If Barakaldo wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 4,444 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 3, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Barakaldo vs Zamora?

A very open match: only 31 Elo points separate Barakaldo (1,958) and Zamora (1,989).

42%31%27%
Barakaldo winDrawZamora win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Barakaldo vs Zamora

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Barakaldo

4-3-3
  1. 19Ángel Troncho
  2. 11Carlos Mattheus
  3. 27E. Mateos
  1. 15I. Jimenez
  2. 10Álvaro Peña
  3. 8Julen Huidobro
  1. 3Ander Zoilo
  2. 17Pablo Trigueros
  3. 5Aritz Muguruza
  4. 18Benat Gomez
  1. 13Gaizka Campos

Zamora

4-4-2
  1. 7Javier Carbonell
  2. 19Pau Mascaró
  1. 10Carlos Ramos
  2. 21A. Hidalgo
  3. 8Juanje
  4. 15Mauro Costa
  1. 3Luismi Luengo
  2. 4Unai Dufur
  3. 23Eudald Vergés
  4. 2Guillem Rodríguez
  1. 1Iker Piedra

Computed on November 3, 2026 at 09:09 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Barakaldo have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Zamora have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Barakaldo
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 1, 2026Pontevedra(home)0-0Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 24, 2026Ponferradina(away)0-0Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 17, 2026Mirandes(home)2-0Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 10, 2026UD Ourense(away)0-1Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 3, 2026Arenas Getxo(home)1-1Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Zamora
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 1, 2026Deportivo La Coruña II(home)1-3Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 29, 2026Coruxo(away)2-0Copa del Rey
Oct 24, 2026Cacereño(away)0-1Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 17, 2026Ponferradina(home)1-1Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 10, 2026Mirandes(away)1-1Primera División RFEF - Group 1

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Barakaldo wins, 2 draws, 2 Zamora wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 15, 2026Zamora 2-2 BarakaldoPrimera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 6, 2025Barakaldo 1-1 ZamoraPrimera División RFEF - Group 1
Mar 2, 2025Zamora 2-1 BarakaldoPrimera División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 18, 2024Barakaldo 0-3 ZamoraPrimera División RFEF - Group 1

Last archived meeting: Zamora vs Barakaldo on Feb 15, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Barakaldo score 1.0 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Zamora score 1.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 35% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Barakaldo1.01.165/153/15
Zamora1.11.167/155/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Barakaldo sit 15th in Primera División RFEF - Group 1 (11 points from 10 matches) and Zamora sit 14th (12 points from 10 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
14Zamora10334111212
15Barakaldo1025381011

A question about Barakaldo vs Zamora?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Barakaldo vs Zamora?
The Footlab AI model makes Barakaldo the favourite at 42%, against 31% for a draw and 27% for Zamora.
Where and when is Barakaldo vs Zamora played?
Barakaldo vs Zamora is played on March 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Nuevo Lasesarre, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 35% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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