Match

Mirandes vs Real Unión: prediction and stats

Primera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 29Kick-off on March 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de Anduva, Miranda de Ebro

MirandesReal Unión

The Footlab model makes Real Unión the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 34% for Mirandes. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Mirandes vs Real Unión?

A very open match: only 96 Elo points separate Mirandes (1,877) and Real Unión (1,974).

Mirandes win34 %
Draw29 %
Real Unión win37 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mirandes have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Real Unión have 10, 2 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Mirandes
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026UD Logroñés(away)0-4Friendlies Clubs
Aug 19, 2026La Calzada(away)1-0Friendlies Clubs
Aug 15, 2026Real Madrid II(away)0-0Friendlies Clubs
Aug 13, 2026Atlético Madrid II(away)2-1Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026Osasuna II(away)1-0Friendlies Clubs
Real Unión
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 8, 2026Eibar(home)1-1Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026PAU(away)2-1Friendlies Clubs
May 1, 2026Alfaro(home)2-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 2
Apr 26, 2026Real Zaragoza II(away)1-3Segunda División RFEF - Group 2
Apr 18, 2026Amorebieta(home)3-3Segunda División RFEF - Group 2

How many goals should we expect?

Mirandes score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Real Unión score 2.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Mirandes1.31.539/159/15
Real Unión2.31.5410/1513/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Mirandes vs Real Unión?
The Footlab model makes Real Unión the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 34% for Mirandes.
Where and when is Mirandes vs Real Unión played?
Mirandes vs Real Unión is played on March 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de Anduva, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Mirandes and Real Unión

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