Match

Racing Ferrol vs Athletic Club II: prediction and stats

Primera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 29Kick-off on March 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de A Malata, Ferrol

Racing FerrolAthletic Club II

The Footlab model makes Racing Ferrol the favourite at 38%, against 30% for a draw and 32% for Athletic Club II. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Racing Ferrol vs Athletic Club II?

A very open match: only 65 Elo points separate Racing Ferrol (1,831) and Athletic Club II (1,897).

Racing Ferrol win38 %
Draw30 %
Athletic Club II win32 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Racing Ferrol have 2 wins, 8 draws and 5 defeats; Athletic Club II have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Racing Ferrol
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 13, 2026Real Avilés(home)1-1Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026Real Madrid II(home)2-2Friendlies Clubs
May 23, 2026Unionistas de Salamanca(away)2-3Primera División RFEF - Group 1
May 17, 2026Osasuna II(home)0-0Primera División RFEF - Group 1
May 8, 2026Arenas Getxo(away)1-1Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Athletic Club II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 18, 2026Laredo(away)3-0Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026Amorebieta(away)1-0Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026Cultural Leonesa(home)2-0Friendlies Clubs
Jul 29, 2026Sestao River(away)1-0Friendlies Clubs
May 23, 2026Ponferradina(away)0-1Primera División RFEF - Group 1

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Racing Ferrol win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Athletic Club II win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 19, 2026Athletic Club II 0-1 Racing FerrolPrimera División RFEF - Group 1
Jan 10, 2026Racing Ferrol 0-1 Athletic Club IIPrimera División RFEF - Group 1
May 15, 2022Racing Ferrol 1-1 Athletic Club IIPrimera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 5, 2021Athletic Club II 2-2 Racing FerrolPrimera División RFEF - Group 1

Last archived meeting: Athletic Club II vs Racing Ferrol on Apr 19, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Racing Ferrol score 1.0 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Athletic Club II score 1.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Racing Ferrol1.01.549/157/15
Athletic Club II1.11.156/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Racing Ferrol sit 12th in Primera División RFEF - Group 1 (49 points from 38 matches) and Athletic Club II sit 13th (49 points from 38 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
12Racing Ferrol38131015414749
13Athletic Club II38131015384649

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Racing Ferrol vs Athletic Club II?
The Footlab model makes Racing Ferrol the favourite at 38%, against 30% for a draw and 32% for Athletic Club II.
Where and when is Racing Ferrol vs Athletic Club II played?
Racing Ferrol vs Athletic Club II is played on March 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de A Malata, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Racing Ferrol and Athletic Club II

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