Match

Cacereño vs UD Ourense: prediction and stats

Primera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 29Kick-off on March 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Príncipe Felipe, Cáceres

CacereñoUD Ourense

The Footlab AI model makes Cacereño the favourite at 50%, against 27% for a draw and 23% for UD Ourense. The most likely score is 1-1. If Cacereño wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.7% of the 3,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 28, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Cacereño vs UD Ourense?

On Elo ratings, Cacereño has 1,950 points and UD Ourense 1,917.

50%27%23%
Cacereño winDrawUD Ourense win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Cacereño vs UD Ourense

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Cacereño

4-3-3
  1. 9O. Chit
  2. 11A. Monerris
  3. 20Ignacio Tellechea
  1. 6N. Conesa
  2. 8Álvaro Gete
  3. 5Toño Calvo
  1. 22Adrián Expósito
  2. 17Sergio López
  3. 3Manolo Molina
  4. 2I. Martinez
  1. 1Diego Nieves

UD Ourense

4-3-3
  1. 10David Ferreiro
  2. 11Sergi Baldrich
  3. 17Xabi Dominguez
  1. 14R. Martinez
  2. 22D. Tejon
  3. 16Álvaro Bastida
  1. 4J. Labrada
  2. 3Julio Cabrera
  3. 5L. Fernandez
  4. 2Varo
  1. 1Manuel Vizoso

Computed on October 28, 2026 at 06:24 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cacereño have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; UD Ourense have 5, 4 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Cacereño
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 24, 2026Zamora(home)1-0Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 18, 2026Pontevedra(away)0-1Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 10, 2026Unionistas de Salamanca(home)1-1Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 4, 2026Mérida AD(away)0-2Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 27, 2026UD Ourense(away)0-0Primera División RFEF - Group 1
UD Ourense
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 24, 2026Arenas Getxo(away)0-2Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 18, 2026Real Avilés(away)0-3Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 10, 2026Barakaldo(home)1-0Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 3, 2026Real Unión(away)1-1Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 27, 2026Cacereño(home)0-0Primera División RFEF - Group 1

What does the head-to-head say?

In the last meeting: 0 Cacereño wins, 1 draw, 0 UD Ourense wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Sep 27, 2026UD Ourense 0-0 CacereñoPrimera División RFEF - Group 1

Last archived meeting: UD Ourense vs Cacereño on Sep 27, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Cacereño score 1.1 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; UD Ourense score 0.8 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Cacereño1.10.775/154/15
UD Ourense0.81.255/155/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Cacereño sit 4th in Primera División RFEF - Group 1 (15 points from 9 matches) and UD Ourense sit 19th (5 points from 9 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Cacereño94328515
19UD Ourense91263155

A question about Cacereño vs UD Ourense?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Cacereño vs UD Ourense?
The Footlab AI model makes Cacereño the favourite at 50%, against 27% for a draw and 23% for UD Ourense.
Where and when is Cacereño vs UD Ourense played?
Cacereño vs UD Ourense is played on March 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Príncipe Felipe, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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