Where and when is Real Avilés vs Barakaldo played?

Real Avilés vs Barakaldo is played on March 28, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Román Suárez Puerta, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Real Avilés vs Barakaldo: prediction and stats

Primera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 30Kick-off on March 28, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Román Suárez Puerta, Avilés

Real Avilés

Barakaldo

The Footlab model makes Barakaldo the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Real Avilés. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Real Avilés vs Barakaldo?

A very open match: only 88 Elo points separate Real Avilés (1,869) and Barakaldo (1,957).

Real Avilés win35 %

Draw28 %

Barakaldo win38 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Real Avilés have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Barakaldo have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Real Avilés
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	Sporting Gijón II(home)	4-2	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 15, 2026	Mosconia(away)	2-0	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 13, 2026	Racing Ferrol(away)	1-1	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026	Racing Santander II(away)	1-2	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 5, 2026	Cultural Leonesa(away)	1-1	Friendlies Clubs

Barakaldo
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 14, 2026	Portugalete(away)	0-2	Friendlies Clubs
May 23, 2026	Celta de Vigo II(home)	1-1	Primera División RFEF - Group 1
May 17, 2026	Real Avilés(away)	4-1	Primera División RFEF - Group 1
May 9, 2026	Mérida AD(home)	2-0	Primera División RFEF - Group 1
May 1, 2026	Tenerife(away)	0-2	Primera División RFEF - Group 1

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Real Avilés win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Barakaldo win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 17, 2026	Real Avilés 1-4 Barakaldo	Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Dec 7, 2025	Barakaldo 1-2 Real Avilés	Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Aug 17, 2024	Barakaldo 1-4 Real Avilés	Friendlies Clubs

Last archived meeting: Real Avilés vs Barakaldo on May 17, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Real Avilés score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Barakaldo score 1.3 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Real Avilés	1.5	1.5	2	12/15	8/15
Barakaldo	1.3	0.9	6	5/15	5/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Real Avilés sit 14th in Primera División RFEF - Group 1 (44 points from 38 matches) and Barakaldo sit 7th (58 points from 38 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
7	Barakaldo	38	15	13	10	51	38	58
14	Real Avilés	38	11	11	16	55	67	44

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Real Avilés vs Barakaldo?: The Footlab model makes Barakaldo the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Real Avilés.
Where and when is Real Avilés vs Barakaldo played?: Real Avilés vs Barakaldo is played on March 28, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Román Suárez Puerta, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.