Where and when is Pontevedra vs UD Logroñés played?

Pontevedra vs UD Logroñés is played on March 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de Pasarón, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Pontevedra vs UD Logroñés: prediction and stats

Primera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 29Kick-off on March 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de Pasarón, Pontevedra

Pontevedra

UD Logroñés

The Footlab model makes Pontevedra the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 34% for UD Logroñés. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Pontevedra vs UD Logroñés?

A very open match: only 56 Elo points separate Pontevedra (1,987) and UD Logroñés (2,043).

Pontevedra win37 %

Draw29 %

UD Logroñés win34 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pontevedra have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; UD Logroñés have 10, 3 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Pontevedra
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 19, 2026	Coruxo(away)	1-3	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 15, 2026	Ourense CF(home)	2-1	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026	Estradense(away)	5-0	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026	Arosa(away)	1-3	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 29, 2026	Deportivo La Coruña II(home)	2-1	Friendlies Clubs

UD Logroñés
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Huesca II(home)	4-0	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 21, 2026	Mirandes(home)	4-0	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 14, 2026	Zaragoza(home)	1-2	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 4, 2026	Huesca(away)	1-0	Friendlies Clubs
May 30, 2026	SS Reyes(away)	1-1	Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs

How many goals should we expect?

Pontevedra score 1.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; UD Logroñés score 2.0 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Pontevedra	1.9	1.3	4	9/15	11/15
UD Logroñés	2.0	0.6	9	6/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
6	Pontevedra	38	14	16	8	49	31	58

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Pontevedra vs UD Logroñés?: The Footlab model makes Pontevedra the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 34% for UD Logroñés.
Where and when is Pontevedra vs UD Logroñés played?: Pontevedra vs UD Logroñés is played on March 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de Pasarón, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.