Baranovichi vs FC Gomel: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 23Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadyen Lyakamatyu, Baranovichi
The Footlab model makes FC Gomel the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Baranovichi. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Baranovichi vs FC Gomel?
FC Gomel starts as the favourite with a 132-point Elo edge (1,703 vs 1,571).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Baranovichi have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; FC Gomel have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Dinamo Brest(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | ML Vitebsk(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Bate Borisov(home) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | FC Isloch Minsk R.(home) | 3-4 | Premier League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | FC Isloch Minsk R.(away) | 1-1 | Coppa |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Slavia Mozyr(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Naftan(home) | 6-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | FC Minsk(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | FC Vitebsk(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | FC Vitebsk(home) | 1-2 | Coppa |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Baranovichi win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 FC Gomel win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 14, 2026 | FC Gomel 2-3 Baranovichi | Premier League |
| Sep 10, 2016 | Baranovichi 0-6 FC Gomel | 1. Division |
| May 15, 2016 | FC Gomel 4-1 Baranovichi | 1. Division |
Last archived meeting: FC Gomel vs Baranovichi on May 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Baranovichi score 1.6 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; FC Gomel score 1.3 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baranovichi | 1.6 | 1.5 | 1 | 12/15 | 7/15 |
| FC Gomel | 1.3 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Baranovichi sit 12th in Premier League (18 points from 19 matches) and FC Gomel sit 5th (30 points from 19 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | FC Gomel | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 27 | 15 | 30 |
| 12 | Baranovichi | 19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 21 | 35 | 18 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Baranovichi vs FC Gomel?
- The Footlab model makes FC Gomel the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Baranovichi.
- Where and when is Baranovichi vs FC Gomel played?
- Baranovichi vs FC Gomel is played on September 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadyen Lyakamatyu, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.