Neman vs Baranovichi: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 24Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Neman, Grodno
The Footlab model makes Neman the favourite at 48%, against 28% for a draw and 24% for Baranovichi. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Neman vs Baranovichi?
Neman starts as the favourite with a 152-point Elo edge (1,723 vs 1,571).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Neman have 6 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats; Baranovichi have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Naftan(away) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | FC Minsk(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FC Vitebsk(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Arsenal(away) | 3-2 | Coppa |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Shakhter Soligorsk(away) | 2-1 | Coppa |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Dinamo Brest(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | ML Vitebsk(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Bate Borisov(home) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | FC Isloch Minsk R.(home) | 3-4 | Premier League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | FC Isloch Minsk R.(away) | 1-1 | Coppa |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Neman win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Baranovichi win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Baranovichi 1-2 Neman | Premier League |
| Mar 7, 2026 | Neman 0-0 Baranovichi | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 28, 2023 | Baranovichi 0-2 Neman | Coppa |
How many goals should we expect?
Neman score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Baranovichi score 1.6 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neman | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Baranovichi | 1.6 | 1.5 | 1 | 12/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Neman sit 8th in Premier League (27 points from 18 matches) and Baranovichi sit 12th (18 points from 19 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Neman | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 20 | 17 | 27 |
| 12 | Baranovichi | 19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 21 | 35 | 18 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Neman vs Baranovichi?
- The Footlab model makes Neman the favourite at 48%, against 28% for a draw and 24% for Baranovichi.
- Where and when is Neman vs Baranovichi played?
- Neman vs Baranovichi is played on October 10, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Neman, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.