Slavia Mozyr vs Naftan: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 23Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadyen Junatsva, Mozyr
The Footlab model makes Slavia Mozyr the favourite at 71%, against 18% for a draw and 11% for Naftan. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Slavia Mozyr vs Naftan?
Slavia Mozyr starts as the favourite with a 228-point Elo edge (1,691 vs 1,463).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Slavia Mozyr have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Naftan have 2, 4 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | FC Gomel(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Arsenal(away) | 3-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 7, 2026 | FC Dnepr Mogilev(home) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Dinamo Brest(home) | 2-1 | Coppa |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Volna(away) | 5-0 | Coppa |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Neman(home) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | FC Gomel(away) | 0-6 | Premier League |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Arsenal(home) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Jul 31, 2026 | FC Dnepr Mogilev(away) | 3-3 | Premier League |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Orsha(away) | 2-2 | Coppa |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Slavia Mozyr win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Naftan win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Naftan 0-1 Slavia Mozyr | Premier League |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Slavia Mozyr 2-0 Naftan | Premier League |
| Jun 15, 2025 | Naftan 0-1 Slavia Mozyr | Premier League |
| Nov 8, 2024 | Slavia Mozyr 1-0 Naftan | Premier League |
| Jun 22, 2024 | Naftan 0-1 Slavia Mozyr | Premier League |
| Oct 28, 2023 | Naftan 2-2 Slavia Mozyr | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Naftan vs Slavia Mozyr on May 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Slavia Mozyr score 1.5 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Naftan score 1.1 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slavia Mozyr | 1.5 | 1.2 | 5 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Naftan | 1.1 | 2.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Slavia Mozyr sit 10th in Premier League (22 points from 18 matches) and Naftan sit 16th (10 points from 18 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Slavia Mozyr | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 23 | 22 |
| 16 | Naftan | 18 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 16 | 42 | 10 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Slavia Mozyr vs Naftan?
- The Footlab model makes Slavia Mozyr the favourite at 71%, against 18% for a draw and 11% for Naftan.
- Where and when is Slavia Mozyr vs Naftan played?
- Slavia Mozyr vs Naftan is played on September 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadyen Junatsva, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.