Dinamo Brest vs FC Dnepr Mogilev: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 23Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadyen DASK Brestski, Brest
The Footlab model makes Dinamo Brest the favourite at 63%, against 23% for a draw and 15% for FC Dnepr Mogilev. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dinamo Brest vs FC Dnepr Mogilev?
Dinamo Brest starts as the favourite with a 201-point Elo edge (1,726 vs 1,525).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dinamo Brest have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; FC Dnepr Mogilev have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Baranovichi(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | FC Isloch Minsk R.(home) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Torpedo Zhodino(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Belshina(home) | 4-0 | Premier League |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Slavia Mozyr(away) | 1-2 | Coppa |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Torpedo Zhodino(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Belshina(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Slavia Mozyr(away) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Naftan(home) | 3-3 | Premier League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Torpedo Zhodino(away) | 2-1 | Coppa |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Dinamo Brest win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 FC Dnepr Mogilev win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | FC Dnepr Mogilev 1-1 Dinamo Brest | Premier League |
| Nov 1, 2024 | FC Dnepr Mogilev 0-3 Dinamo Brest | Premier League |
| Jun 15, 2024 | Dinamo Brest 6-1 FC Dnepr Mogilev | Premier League |
| Oct 7, 2022 | Dinamo Brest 4-0 FC Dnepr Mogilev | Premier League |
| May 22, 2022 | FC Dnepr Mogilev 2-0 Dinamo Brest | Premier League |
| Aug 10, 2019 | FC Dnepr Mogilev 0-1 Dinamo Brest | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: FC Dnepr Mogilev vs Dinamo Brest on May 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Dinamo Brest score 2.0 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; FC Dnepr Mogilev score 1.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dinamo Brest | 2.0 | 1.1 | 5 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| FC Dnepr Mogilev | 1.1 | 1.7 | 2 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dinamo Brest sit 4th in Premier League (31 points from 19 matches) and FC Dnepr Mogilev sit 15th (14 points from 19 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Dinamo Brest | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 31 | 18 | 31 |
| 15 | FC Dnepr Mogilev | 19 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 16 | 29 | 14 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dinamo Brest vs FC Dnepr Mogilev?
- The Footlab model makes Dinamo Brest the favourite at 63%, against 23% for a draw and 15% for FC Dnepr Mogilev.
- Where and when is Dinamo Brest vs FC Dnepr Mogilev played?
- Dinamo Brest vs FC Dnepr Mogilev is played on September 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadyen DASK Brestski, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.