FC Gomel vs ML Vitebsk: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 24Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadyen Central'ny, Gomel
The Footlab AI model makes ML Vitebsk the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 34% for FC Gomel. The most likely score is 1-1. If ML Vitebsk wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Gomel vs ML Vitebsk?
ML Vitebsk starts as the favourite with a 114-point Elo edge (1,828 vs 1,713).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for FC Gomel vs ML Vitebsk
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
FC Gomel
4-4-2- 11T. Simanenka
- 10D. Laptev
- 19D. Silinskiy
- 77V. Lazarev
- 7R. Adeola
- 23K. Danilin
- 17V. Martinkevich
- 14P. Pashevich
- 90G. Kukushkin
- 33V. Sotnikov
- 44S. Kleshchuk
ML Vitebsk
4-3-3- 9B. Diabaté
- 12R. Bosić
- 80A. Kontsevoy
- 55V. Gromyko
- 27A. Mesarović
- 15V. Bocherov
- 20Z. Volkov
- 6K. Gomanov
- 45I. Moskalenchik
- 23S. Balanovich
- 1P. Pavlyuchenko
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 01:42 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Gomel have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; ML Vitebsk have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2, 2026 | Belshina(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Baranovichi(away) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | FC Isloch Minsk R.(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Torpedo Zhodino(away) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Belshina(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 18, 2026 | Arsenal(home) | 5-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | FC Dnepr Mogilev(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Dinamo Minsk(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 2, 2026 | Belshina(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Dinamo Brest(away) | 3-1 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 FC Gomel wins, 1 draw, 3 ML Vitebsk wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 22, 2026 | ML Vitebsk 0-0 FC Gomel | Premier League |
| Nov 23, 2025 | ML Vitebsk 5-0 FC Gomel | Premier League |
| Jun 28, 2025 | FC Gomel 0-2 ML Vitebsk | Premier League |
| Feb 15, 2025 | FC Gomel 2-3 ML Vitebsk | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: ML Vitebsk vs FC Gomel on May 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
FC Gomel score 1.3 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; ML Vitebsk score 1.7 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Gomel | 1.3 | 0.7 | 7 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| ML Vitebsk | 1.7 | 0.9 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Gomel sit 5th in Premier League (39 points from 23 matches) and ML Vitebsk sit 2nd (44 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | ML Vitebsk | 21 | 12 | 8 | 1 | 42 | 17 | 44 |
| 5 | FC Gomel | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 33 | 18 | 39 |
A question about FC Gomel vs ML Vitebsk?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Gomel vs ML Vitebsk?
- The Footlab AI model makes ML Vitebsk the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 34% for FC Gomel.
- Where and when is FC Gomel vs ML Vitebsk played?
- FC Gomel vs ML Vitebsk is played on October 11, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadyen Central'ny, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.