Barnet vs Tranmere: prediction and stats
FA Cup1/128-finalsKick-off on November 7, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Hive Stadium, London
The Footlab AI model makes Barnet the favourite at 63%, against 19% for a draw and 18% for Tranmere. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,449 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Barnet vs Tranmere?
Barnet starts as the favourite with a 208-point Elo edge (1,876 vs 1,669).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Barnet vs Tranmere
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Barnet
4-2-3-1- 20K. Tshimanga
- 8C. Lakin
- 22O. Gallagher
- 14B. Comley
- 11I. Kanu
- 7T. Knowles
- 5A. Senior
- 4D. Collinge
- 3R. Crichlow-Noble
- 25N. Tavares
- 13M. Cox
Tranmere
4-2-3-1- 9J. Ironside
- 10T. Ince
- 6W. Vaulks
- 29D. Jones
- 11T. Conlon
- 7Charlie Jay Whitaker
- 3J. Slater
- 2J. Senior
- 16B. Faulkner
- 30G. Nevett
- 1L. McGee
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 12:25 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Barnet have 8 wins, 6 draws and 1 defeat; Tranmere have 5, 7 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Crewe(away) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Oct 27, 2026 | York(home) | 3-1 | League Two |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Oldham(home) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Swindon Town(home) | 1-3 | League Two |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Tranmere(away) | 2-1 | League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Cheltenham(home) | 3-1 | League Two |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Crawley Town(away) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Northampton(away) | 1-0 | League Two |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Barnet(home) | 1-2 | League Two |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Rochdale(home) | 1-1 | League Two |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 3 Barnet wins, 0 draws, 0 Tranmere wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Tranmere 1-2 Barnet | League Two |
| Jan 27, 2026 | Barnet 1-0 Tranmere | League Two |
| Oct 11, 2025 | Tranmere 0-2 Barnet | League Two |
How many goals should we expect?
Barnet score 2.2 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Tranmere score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barnet | 2.2 | 1.3 | 1 | 14/15 | 11/15 |
| Tranmere | 1.3 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Barnet vs Tranmere?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Barnet vs Tranmere?
- The Footlab AI model makes Barnet the favourite at 63%, against 19% for a draw and 18% for Tranmere.
- Where and when is Barnet vs Tranmere played?
- Barnet vs Tranmere is played on November 7, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Hive Stadium, in the FA Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.