Barranquilla vs Popayan: prediction and stats
Primera BClausura - 7Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Metropolitano Roberto Meléndez, Barranquilla
The Footlab model makes Barranquilla the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Popayan. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Barranquilla vs Popayan?
A very open match: only 12 Elo points separate Barranquilla (1,479) and Popayan (1,491).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Barranquilla have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Popayan have 4, 7 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Real Santander(away) | 2-2 | Primera B |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Depor FC(home) | 2-2 | Primera B |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Junior(home) | 3-3 | Copa Colombia |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Orsomarso(away) | 0-1 | Primera B |
| Jul 23, 2026 | Junior(away) | 2-2 | Copa Colombia |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 6, 2026 | Real Soacha(away) | 1-3 | Primera B |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Tigres FC(home) | 0-0 | Primera B |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Quindio(away) | 1-0 | Primera B |
| May 21, 2026 | Bucaramanga(away) | 3-2 | Copa Colombia |
| May 15, 2026 | Deportivo Cali(home) | 1-5 | Copa Colombia |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Barranquilla win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Popayan win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 | Popayan 0-2 Barranquilla | Primera B |
| Oct 20, 2025 | Popayan 1-0 Barranquilla | Primera B |
| May 10, 2025 | Barranquilla 0-0 Popayan | Primera B |
| Aug 17, 2024 | Barranquilla 1-1 Popayan | Primera B |
| Feb 26, 2024 | Popayan 1-0 Barranquilla | Primera B |
| Oct 2, 2023 | Barranquilla 1-0 Popayan | Primera B |
Last archived meeting: Popayan vs Barranquilla on Feb 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Barranquilla score 1.4 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Popayan score 1.3 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barranquilla | 1.4 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Popayan | 1.3 | 1.4 | 4 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Barranquilla sit 7th in Primera B (20 points from 15 matches) and Popayan sit 12th (13 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Barranquilla | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 6 |
| 7 | Barranquilla | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 21 | 20 | 20 |
| 7 | Barranquilla | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 21 | 20 | 20 |
| 7 | Barranquilla | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 30 | 31 | 28 |
| 9 | Popayan | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
| 9 | Popayan | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
| 12 | Popayan | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 20 | 13 |
| 12 | Popayan | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 20 | 13 |
| 12 | Barranquilla | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 2 |
| 14 | Popayan | 18 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 23 | 17 |
| 14 | Barranquilla | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Barranquilla vs Popayan?
- The Footlab model makes Barranquilla the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Popayan.
- Where and when is Barranquilla vs Popayan played?
- Barranquilla vs Popayan is played on August 29, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Metropolitano Roberto Meléndez, in the Primera B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.