Real Cartagena vs Tigres FC: prediction and stats
Primera BClausura - 7Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 10:30 PM (UTC)Estadio Olímpico Jaime Morón León, Cartagena de Indias
The Footlab model makes Real Cartagena the favourite at 55%, against 26% for a draw and 18% for Tigres FC. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Real Cartagena vs Tigres FC?
Real Cartagena starts as the favourite with a 129-point Elo edge (1,617 vs 1,487).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Real Cartagena have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Tigres FC have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Leones FC(away) | 6-1 | Primera B |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Bogota FC(home) | 2-0 | Primera B |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Ind. Yumbo(home) | 0-2 | Primera B |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Real Soacha(away) | 1-1 | Primera B |
| Jul 30, 2026 | America de Cali(home) | 1-1 | Copa Colombia |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Union Magdalena(home) | 1-0 | Primera B |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Envigado(home) | 2-1 | Primera B |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Popayan(away) | 0-0 | Primera B |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Atletico Nacional(home) | 0-2 | Copa Colombia |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Leones FC(home) | 0-1 | Primera B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Real Cartagena win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 Tigres FC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2026 | Tigres FC 0-0 Real Cartagena | Primera B |
| Aug 22, 2025 | Real Cartagena 4-0 Tigres FC | Primera B |
| Jun 11, 2025 | Tigres FC 1-1 Real Cartagena | Primera B |
| May 30, 2025 | Real Cartagena 3-0 Tigres FC | Primera B |
| Mar 18, 2025 | Tigres FC 0-0 Real Cartagena | Primera B |
| Oct 22, 2024 | Real Cartagena 3-1 Tigres FC | Primera B |
Last archived meeting: Tigres FC vs Real Cartagena on Mar 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Real Cartagena score 1.8 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Tigres FC score 0.8 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Cartagena | 1.8 | 1.2 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Tigres FC | 0.8 | 1.1 | 4 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Real Cartagena sit 5th in Primera B (27 points from 17 matches) and Tigres FC sit 8th (20 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Cartagena | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 13 |
| 1 | Real Cartagena | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 5 | 10 |
| 1 | Real Cartagena | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 48 | 30 | 50 |
| 3 | Real Cartagena | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 4 |
| 4 | Tigres FC | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 4 |
| 5 | Real Cartagena | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 26 | 19 | 27 |
| 5 | Real Cartagena | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 26 |
| 6 | Tigres FC | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 7 | Tigres FC | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 22 | 24 | 31 |
| 8 | Tigres FC | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 14 | 20 |
| 8 | Tigres FC | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 14 | 20 |
| 15 | Tigres FC | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Real Cartagena vs Tigres FC?
- The Footlab model makes Real Cartagena the favourite at 55%, against 26% for a draw and 18% for Tigres FC.
- Where and when is Real Cartagena vs Tigres FC played?
- Real Cartagena vs Tigres FC is played on August 29, 2026 at 10:30 PM (UTC) at Estadio Olímpico Jaime Morón León, in the Primera B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.