Depor FC vs Bogota FC: prediction and stats
Primera BClausura - 7Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 08:30 PM (UTC)Estadio Olímpico Pascual Guerrero, Santiago de Cali
The Footlab model makes Bogota FC the favourite at 44%, against 30% for a draw and 26% for Depor FC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Depor FC vs Bogota FC?
Bogota FC starts as the favourite with a 111-point Elo edge (1,456 vs 1,345).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Depor FC have 1 wins, 5 draws and 9 defeats; Bogota FC have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Patriotas(away) | 0-2 | Primera B |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Real Santander(home) | 2-2 | Primera B |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Barranquilla(away) | 2-2 | Primera B |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Ind. Yumbo(home) | 0-2 | Primera B |
| May 30, 2026 | Millonarios(home) | 1-8 | Copa Colombia |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Popayan(away) | 2-1 | Primera B |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Real Cartagena(away) | 0-2 | Primera B |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Leones FC(home) | 0-1 | Primera B |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Internacional Palmira(away) | 0-0 | Primera B |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Deportivo Pasto(home) | 0-3 | Copa Colombia |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Depor FC win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Bogota FC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Bogota FC 1-0 Depor FC | Primera B |
| Jul 27, 2025 | Bogota FC 2-0 Depor FC | Primera B |
| Feb 17, 2025 | Depor FC 2-2 Bogota FC | Primera B |
| Aug 5, 2024 | Depor FC 3-0 Bogota FC | Primera B |
| Feb 16, 2024 | Bogota FC 2-2 Depor FC | Primera B |
| Aug 7, 2023 | Depor FC 0-2 Bogota FC | Primera B |
Last archived meeting: Bogota FC vs Depor FC on Feb 27, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Depor FC score 0.9 and concede 2.4 goals per match over their last 15; Bogota FC score 0.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Depor FC | 0.9 | 2.4 | 0 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Bogota FC | 0.7 | 1.1 | 5 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Depor FC sit 15th in Primera B (9 points from 15 matches) and Bogota FC sit 6th (23 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Bogota FC | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 3 |
| 6 | Bogota FC | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 14 | 23 |
| 6 | Bogota FC | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 14 | 23 |
| 6 | Bogota FC | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 22 | 26 | 33 |
| 7 | Bogota FC | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 8 | Bogota FC | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| 11 | Depor FC | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 2 |
| 15 | Depor FC | 15 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 23 | 9 |
| 15 | Depor FC | 15 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 23 | 9 |
| 15 | Depor FC | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 2 |
| 16 | Depor FC | 19 | 1 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 31 | 11 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Depor FC vs Bogota FC?
- The Footlab model makes Bogota FC the favourite at 44%, against 30% for a draw and 26% for Depor FC.
- Where and when is Depor FC vs Bogota FC played?
- Depor FC vs Bogota FC is played on August 29, 2026 at 08:30 PM (UTC) at Estadio Olímpico Pascual Guerrero, in the Primera B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.