Real Soacha vs Patriotas: prediction and stats
Primera BClausura - 7Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Real Soacha the favourite at 46%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Patriotas. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Real Soacha vs Patriotas?
A very open match: only 41 Elo points separate Real Soacha (1,596) and Patriotas (1,555).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Real Soacha have 3 wins, 8 draws and 4 defeats; Patriotas have 3, 7 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Leones FC(away) | 1-1 | Primera B |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Popayan(home) | 3-1 | Primera B |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Real Cartagena(home) | 1-1 | Primera B |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Envigado(away) | 0-1 | Primera B |
| May 26, 2026 | Águilas Doradas(home) | 2-2 | Copa Colombia |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Orsomarso(home) | 1-1 | Primera B |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Real Santander(away) | 2-2 | Primera B |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Internacional Palmira(home) | 3-1 | Primera B |
| May 20, 2026 | Llaneros(away) | 1-3 | Copa Colombia |
| May 15, 2026 | Millonarios(home) | 2-3 | Copa Colombia |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Real Soacha win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Patriotas win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | Patriotas 1-0 Real Soacha | Primera B |
| Nov 23, 2025 | Patriotas 0-3 Real Soacha | Primera B |
| Nov 2, 2025 | Real Soacha 1-0 Patriotas | Primera B |
| Sep 8, 2025 | Real Soacha 0-1 Patriotas | Primera B |
| Jul 21, 2025 | Patriotas 2-1 Real Soacha | Primera B |
| Jun 4, 2025 | Patriotas 0-1 Real Soacha | Primera B |
Last archived meeting: Patriotas vs Real Soacha on Feb 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Real Soacha score 1.2 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Patriotas score 1.2 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Soacha | 1.2 | 1.2 | 2 | 10/15 | 6/15 |
| Patriotas | 1.2 | 1.4 | 4 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Real Soacha sit 13th in Primera B (13 points from 15 matches) and Patriotas sit 11th (17 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Patriotas | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 4 |
| 4 | Patriotas | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 5 |
| 5 | Real Soacha | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| 5 | Real Soacha | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 5 |
| 10 | Patriotas | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 19 | 21 | 22 |
| 11 | Patriotas | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 17 | 17 |
| 11 | Patriotas | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 17 | 17 |
| 12 | Real Soacha | 19 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 19 | 23 | 18 |
| 13 | Real Soacha | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 19 | 13 |
| 13 | Real Soacha | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 19 | 13 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Real Soacha vs Patriotas?
- The Footlab model makes Real Soacha the favourite at 46%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Patriotas.
- Where and when is Real Soacha vs Patriotas played?
- Real Soacha vs Patriotas is played on August 29, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC), in the Primera B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.