Barrow vs Tamworth: prediction and stats
National LeagueRegular Season - 22Kick-off on December 9, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC)SO Legal Stadium, Barrow-in-Furness, Cumbria
The Footlab AI model makes Barrow the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Tamworth. The most likely score is 1-1. If Barrow wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,440 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Barrow vs Tamworth?
A very open match: only 25 Elo points separate Barrow (1,759) and Tamworth (1,785).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Barrow vs Tamworth
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Barrow
4-3-3- 14Sebastian Blake Thompson
- 9A. Reid
- 19A. Allen
- 26R. Harper
- 5C. Edwards
- 27I. Marriott
- 25P. Kalambayi
- 2M. Oakley
- 36T. Latty-Fairweather
- 6K. Digie
- 1B. Winterbottom
Tamworth
4-3-3- 10K. Donnelly
- 23J. Hutchinson
- 9D. Creaney
- 16R. Calder
- 19T. McGlinchey
- 4T. Kurtaran
- 12J. Rye
- 14O. Dyson
- 5T. Parkes
- 3T. Handley
- 39R. Lovett
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 11:07 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Barrow have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Tamworth have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Tamworth(away) | 2-1 | National League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Wealdstone(home) | 2-1 | National League |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Scunthorpe(home) | 3-0 | National League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Southend(away) | 4-2 | National League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Aldershot Town(home) | 1-0 | National League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Barrow(home) | 1-2 | National League |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Leeds United U21(home) | 1-0 | National League Cup |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Hartlepool(away) | 1-0 | National League |
| Sep 30, 2026 | Sutton Utd(home) | 2-0 | National League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Aldershot Town(away) | 1-5 | National League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 6 Barrow wins, 0 draws, 0 Tamworth wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Tamworth 1-2 Barrow | National League |
| Jul 19, 2025 | Tamworth 0-2 Barrow | Friendlies Clubs |
| Mar 2, 2013 | Barrow 2-0 Tamworth | National League |
| Oct 20, 2012 | Barrow 2-0 Tamworth | FA Cup |
| Sep 8, 2012 | Tamworth 1-3 Barrow | National League |
| Jan 21, 2012 | Tamworth 2-3 Barrow | National League |
How many goals should we expect?
Barrow score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Tamworth score 1.7 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barrow | 1.7 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Tamworth | 1.7 | 2.2 | 3 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Barrow sit 8th in National League (21 points from 13 matches) and Tamworth sit 18th (14 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Barrow | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 16 | 21 |
| 18 | Tamworth | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 21 | 30 | 14 |
A question about Barrow vs Tamworth?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Barrow vs Tamworth?
- The Footlab AI model makes Barrow the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Tamworth.
- Where and when is Barrow vs Tamworth played?
- Barrow vs Tamworth is played on December 9, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at SO Legal Stadium, in the National League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.