Malvern Town vs Basingstoke Town: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 30Kick-off on January 30, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)HD Anywhere Stadium, Malvern, Worcestershire
The Footlab AI model makes Malvern Town the favourite at 50%, against 23% for a draw and 27% for Basingstoke Town. The most likely score is 1-1. If Malvern Town wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,451 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Malvern Town vs Basingstoke Town?
A very open match: only 30 Elo points separate Malvern Town (1,755) and Basingstoke Town (1,725).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Malvern Town vs Basingstoke Town
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Malvern Town
Not enough data to predict the Malvern Town lineup.
Basingstoke Town
Not enough data to predict the Basingstoke Town lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 01:50 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Malvern Town have 2 wins, 3 draws and 10 defeats; Basingstoke Town have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Yate Town(home) | 3-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Basingstoke Town(away) | 1-4 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Bath City(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Mickleover Sports(away) | 1-2 | FA Trophy |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Gloucester City(home) | 5-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Havant & Wville(away) | 1-4 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Malvern Town(home) | 4-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Uxbridge(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Poole Town(away) | 0-1 | FA Trophy |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Gosport Borough(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Malvern Town wins, 0 draws, 1 Basingstoke Town win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Basingstoke Town 4-1 Malvern Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
Last archived meeting: Basingstoke Town vs Malvern Town on Oct 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Malvern Town score 1.3 and concede 2.7 goals per match over their last 15; Basingstoke Town score 1.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malvern Town | 1.3 | 2.7 | 1 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
| Basingstoke Town | 1.3 | 1.7 | 2 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Malvern Town sit 22nd in Non League Premier - Southern South (8 points from 11 matches) and Basingstoke Town sit 14th (12 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Basingstoke Town | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 21 | 12 |
| 22 | Malvern Town | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 31 | 8 |
A question about Malvern Town vs Basingstoke Town?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Malvern Town vs Basingstoke Town?
- The Footlab AI model makes Malvern Town the favourite at 50%, against 23% for a draw and 27% for Basingstoke Town.
- Where and when is Malvern Town vs Basingstoke Town played?
- Malvern Town vs Basingstoke Town is played on January 30, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at HD Anywhere Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.