Bath City vs Evesham United: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 29Kick-off on January 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Twerton Park Stadium, Bath, Somerset
The Footlab model makes Bath City the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for Evesham United. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bath City vs Evesham United?
A very open match: only 8 Elo points separate Bath City (1,705) and Evesham United (1,713).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bath City have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Evesham United have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Basingstoke Town(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hanworth Villa(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Plymouth Parkway(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sholing(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Farnborough(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hanworth Villa(away) | 1-4 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Chichester City(home) | 3-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Frome Town(home) | 0-4 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Basingstoke Town(away) | 4-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Bishop's Cleeve(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Bath City win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Evesham United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 16, 2022 | Evesham United 1-1 Bath City | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Evesham United vs Bath City on Jul 16, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Bath City score 1.3 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Evesham United score 1.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bath City | 1.3 | 1.9 | 2 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Evesham United | 1.3 | 1.7 | 4 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bath City sit 6th in Non League Premier - Southern South (7 points from 4 matches) and Evesham United sit 12th (6 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Bath City | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| 12 | Evesham United | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 10 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bath City vs Evesham United?
- The Footlab model makes Bath City the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for Evesham United.
- Where and when is Bath City vs Evesham United played?
- Bath City vs Evesham United is played on January 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Twerton Park Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 23, 2027Taunton TownvsGloucester City
- Jan 23, 2027Frome TownvsChippenham Town
- Jan 23, 2027UxbridgevsBerkhamsted
- Jan 23, 2027Basingstoke TownvsHavant & Wville
- Jan 23, 2027Chertsey TownvsHanwell Town
- Jan 23, 2027Chichester CityvsSholing
- Jan 23, 2027Poole TownvsGosport Borough
- Jan 23, 2027Wimborne TownvsPlymouth Parkway