Match

Bayer Leverkusen vs Bayern München: prediction and stats

BundesligaRegular Season - 33Kick-off on May 15, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)BayArena, Leverkusen

Bayer LeverkusenBayern München

The Footlab AI model makes Bayern München the favourite at 56%, against 21% for a draw and 23% for Bayer Leverkusen. The most likely score is 1-2.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.9% of the 5,204 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Bayer Leverkusen vs Bayern München?

Bayern München starts as the favourite with a 266-point Elo edge (2,526 vs 2,260).

23%21%56%
Bayer Leverkusen winDrawBayern München win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Bayer Leverkusen vs Bayern München

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Bayer Leverkusen

4-2-3-1
  1. 14P. Schick
  1. 24Aleix García
  2. 30I. Maza
  3. 6E. Fernández
  4. 9Afonso Moreira
  5. 10M. Tillman
  1. 2F. Medina
  2. 12E. Tapsoba
  3. 3Miguel Gutiérrez
  4. 4J. Quansah
  1. 1M. Flekken

Bayern München

4-2-3-1
  1. 9H. Kane
  1. 17M. Olise
  2. 6J. Kimmich
  3. 45A. Pavlović
  4. 42L. Karl
  5. 11N. Brown
  1. 27K. Laimer
  2. 2D. Upamecano
  3. 44J. Stanišić
  4. 4J. Tah
  1. 1M. Neuer

Computed on November 9, 2026 at 10:30 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bayer Leverkusen have 10 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats; Bayern München have 10, 5 and 0.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Bayer Leverkusen
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 8, 20261. FC Köln(away)2-1Bundesliga
Nov 5, 2026Marseille(home)0-1UEFA Europa League
Oct 31, 2026VfB Stuttgart(home)2-4Bundesliga
Oct 28, 20261. FC Nürnberg(home)5-2DFB Pokal
Oct 25, 20261899 Hoffenheim(away)0-3Bundesliga
Bayern München
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 7, 2026FSV Mainz 05(away)2-1Bundesliga
Nov 3, 2026Atletico Madrid(away)2-0UEFA Champions League
Oct 31, 2026Borussia Dortmund(home)2-2Bundesliga
Oct 28, 20261. FC Magdeburg(home)6-1DFB Pokal
Oct 25, 2026SC Freiburg(away)3-1Bundesliga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Bayer Leverkusen wins, 2 draws, 4 Bayern München wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 22, 2026Bayer Leverkusen 0-2 Bayern MünchenDFB Pokal
Mar 14, 2026Bayer Leverkusen 1-1 Bayern MünchenBundesliga
Nov 1, 2025Bayern München 3-0 Bayer LeverkusenBundesliga
Mar 11, 2025Bayer Leverkusen 0-2 Bayern MünchenUEFA Champions League
Mar 5, 2025Bayern München 3-0 Bayer LeverkusenUEFA Champions League
Feb 15, 2025Bayer Leverkusen 0-0 Bayern MünchenBundesliga

Last archived meeting: Bayer Leverkusen vs Bayern München on Apr 22, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Bayer Leverkusen score 2.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Bayern München score 3.4 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Bayer Leverkusen2.51.367/1511/15
Bayern München3.41.1411/1513/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Bayer Leverkusen sit 5th in Bundesliga (16 points from 9 matches) and Bayern München sit 1st (21 points from 9 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Bayern München963029921
5Bayer Leverkusen9513201716

A question about Bayer Leverkusen vs Bayern München?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Bayer Leverkusen vs Bayern München?
The Footlab AI model makes Bayern München the favourite at 56%, against 21% for a draw and 23% for Bayer Leverkusen.
Where and when is Bayer Leverkusen vs Bayern München played?
Bayer Leverkusen vs Bayern München is played on May 15, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at BayArena, in the Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Bayer Leverkusen and Bayern München

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