Werder Bremen vs FC Schalke 04: prediction and stats
BundesligaRegular Season - 33Kick-off on May 15, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Weserstadion, Bremen
The Footlab model makes Werder Bremen the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for FC Schalke 04. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Werder Bremen vs FC Schalke 04?
A very open match: only 6 Elo points separate Werder Bremen (2,041) and FC Schalke 04 (2,047).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Werder Bremen have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; FC Schalke 04 have 10, 0 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Lüneburger SK Hansa(away) | 3-0 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Auxerre(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | SC Paderborn 07(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Energie Cottbus(away) | 4-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | VfL Bochum(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Real Madrid(home) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Atalanta(home) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Hessen Kassel(away) | 5-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Fagiano Okayama(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Metalist 1925 Kharkiv(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Werder Bremen win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 FC Schalke 04 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 29, 2023 | FC Schalke 04 2-1 Werder Bremen | Bundesliga |
| Jan 14, 2023 | FC Schalke 04 0-1 Werder Bremen | Friendlies Clubs |
| Nov 5, 2022 | Werder Bremen 2-1 FC Schalke 04 | Bundesliga |
| Apr 23, 2022 | FC Schalke 04 1-4 Werder Bremen | 2. Bundesliga |
| Nov 20, 2021 | Werder Bremen 1-1 FC Schalke 04 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Jan 30, 2021 | Werder Bremen 1-1 FC Schalke 04 | Bundesliga |
Last archived meeting: FC Schalke 04 vs Werder Bremen on Apr 29, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Werder Bremen score 1.8 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; FC Schalke 04 score 1.8 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Werder Bremen | 1.8 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| FC Schalke 04 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 5 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 60 | 32 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Werder Bremen vs FC Schalke 04?
- The Footlab model makes Werder Bremen the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for FC Schalke 04.
- Where and when is Werder Bremen vs FC Schalke 04 played?
- Werder Bremen vs FC Schalke 04 is played on May 15, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Weserstadion, in the Bundesliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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