Where and when is SC Paderborn 07 vs Union Berlin played?

SC Paderborn 07 vs Union Berlin is played on May 15, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Home Deluxe Arena, in the Bundesliga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

SC Paderborn 07 vs Union Berlin: prediction and stats

BundesligaRegular Season - 33Kick-off on May 15, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Home Deluxe Arena, Paderborn

SC Paderborn 07

Union Berlin

The Footlab model makes SC Paderborn 07 the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Union Berlin. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win SC Paderborn 07 vs Union Berlin?

A very open match: only 59 Elo points separate SC Paderborn 07 (2,090) and Union Berlin (2,031).

SC Paderborn 07 win49 %

Draw24 %

Union Berlin win27 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SC Paderborn 07 have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; Union Berlin have 5, 4 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

SC Paderborn 07
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Phönix Lübeck(away)	4-2	DFB Pokal
Aug 8, 2026	Werder Bremen(away)	2-2	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026	VfL Osnabrück(away)	2-0	Friendlies Clubs
May 25, 2026	VfL Wolfsburg(home)	2-1	Bundesliga
May 21, 2026	VfL Wolfsburg(away)	0-0	Bundesliga

Union Berlin
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Eintracht Braunschweig(away)	4-2	DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026	Ipswich(home)	2-4	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 9, 2026	Aris(home)	3-2	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 2, 2026	Cagliari(home)	2-2	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026	Dynamo Dresden(away)	1-2	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 SC Paderborn 07 win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Union Berlin win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Dec 22, 2020	Union Berlin 2-3 SC Paderborn 07	DFB Pokal
Jun 16, 2020	Union Berlin 1-0 SC Paderborn 07	Bundesliga
Dec 14, 2019	SC Paderborn 07 1-1 Union Berlin	Bundesliga
Mar 30, 2019	Union Berlin 1-3 SC Paderborn 07	2. Bundesliga
Oct 21, 2018	SC Paderborn 07 0-0 Union Berlin	2. Bundesliga
Apr 8, 2016	SC Paderborn 07 0-4 Union Berlin	2. Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: Union Berlin vs SC Paderborn 07 on Dec 22, 2020

How many goals should we expect?

SC Paderborn 07 score 1.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Union Berlin score 2.5 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
SC Paderborn 07	1.9	1.5	4	11/15	9/15
Union Berlin	2.5	1.9	1	13/15	12/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
11	Union Berlin	34	10	9	15	44	58	39

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for SC Paderborn 07 vs Union Berlin?: The Footlab model makes SC Paderborn 07 the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Union Berlin.
Where and when is SC Paderborn 07 vs Union Berlin played?: SC Paderborn 07 vs Union Berlin is played on May 15, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Home Deluxe Arena, in the Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.