Match

SC Paderborn 07 vs Union Berlin: prediction and stats

BundesligaRegular Season - 33Kick-off on May 15, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Home Deluxe Arena, Paderborn

SC Paderborn 07Union Berlin

The Footlab AI model makes SC Paderborn 07 the favourite at 50%, against 23% for a draw and 27% for Union Berlin. The most likely score is 1-1. If SC Paderborn 07 wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,466 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win SC Paderborn 07 vs Union Berlin?

A very open match: only 65 Elo points separate SC Paderborn 07 (2,097) and Union Berlin (2,032).

50%23%27%
SC Paderborn 07 winDrawUnion Berlin win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for SC Paderborn 07 vs Union Berlin

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

SC Paderborn 07

3-5-2
  1. 18M. Pieringer
  2. 30S. Marino
  1. 5S. Castañeda
  2. 40G. Vidović
  3. 23R. Obermair
  4. 17L. Curda
  5. 28L. Ulrich
  1. 21J. ter Horst
  2. 22M. Hansen
  3. 25T. Scheller
  1. 15N. Noll

Union Berlin

4-1-4-1
  1. 29E. Latte Lath
  1. 8R. Khedira
  2. 20M. Aebischer
  3. 11Jeong Woo-Yeong
  4. 13A. Schäfer
  5. 30K. Imeri
  1. 15T. Rothe
  2. 2F. Uduokhai
  3. 19J. Haberer
  4. 4Z. Van Den Bosch
  1. 1F. Rønnow

Computed on October 16, 2026 at 02:28 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SC Paderborn 07 have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Union Berlin have 4, 4 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

SC Paderborn 07
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026VfB Stuttgart(home)0-2Bundesliga
Sep 30, 2026DC United(away)1-0Friendlies Clubs
Sep 20, 20261899 Hoffenheim(home)3-1Bundesliga
Sep 12, 2026Borussia Dortmund(away)0-3Bundesliga
Sep 5, 2026SC Freiburg(home)0-1Bundesliga
Union Berlin
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026SV Elversberg(home)1-0Bundesliga
Sep 18, 2026Bayern München(away)0-7Bundesliga
Sep 11, 2026FC Schalke 04(home)1-3Bundesliga
Sep 5, 2026Bayer Leverkusen(away)0-4Bundesliga
Aug 29, 2026Eintracht Frankfurt(home)3-3Bundesliga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 SC Paderborn 07 wins, 2 draws, 2 Union Berlin wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Dec 22, 2020Union Berlin 2-3 SC Paderborn 07DFB Pokal
Jun 16, 2020Union Berlin 1-0 SC Paderborn 07Bundesliga
Dec 14, 2019SC Paderborn 07 1-1 Union BerlinBundesliga
Mar 30, 2019Union Berlin 1-3 SC Paderborn 072. Bundesliga
Oct 21, 2018SC Paderborn 07 0-0 Union Berlin2. Bundesliga
Apr 8, 2016SC Paderborn 07 0-4 Union Berlin2. Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: Union Berlin vs SC Paderborn 07 on Dec 22, 2020

How many goals should we expect?

SC Paderborn 07 score 1.4 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Union Berlin score 2.1 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
SC Paderborn 071.41.557/158/15
Union Berlin2.12.5111/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

SC Paderborn 07 sit 15th in Bundesliga (4 points from 5 matches) and Union Berlin sit 16th (4 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
15SC Paderborn 075113374
16Union Berlin51135174

A question about SC Paderborn 07 vs Union Berlin?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for SC Paderborn 07 vs Union Berlin?
The Footlab AI model makes SC Paderborn 07 the favourite at 50%, against 23% for a draw and 27% for Union Berlin.
Where and when is SC Paderborn 07 vs Union Berlin played?
SC Paderborn 07 vs Union Berlin is played on May 15, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Home Deluxe Arena, in the Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: SC Paderborn 07 and Union Berlin

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