Match

VfB Stuttgart vs RB Leipzig: prediction and stats

BundesligaRegular Season - 33Kick-off on May 15, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)MHPArena, Stuttgart

VfB StuttgartRB Leipzig

The Footlab AI model makes VfB Stuttgart the favourite at 49%, against 23% for a draw and 28% for RB Leipzig. The most likely score is 1-1. If VfB Stuttgart wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win VfB Stuttgart vs RB Leipzig?

A very open match: only 59 Elo points separate VfB Stuttgart (2,277) and RB Leipzig (2,218).

49%23%28%
VfB Stuttgart winDrawRB Leipzig win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for VfB Stuttgart vs RB Leipzig

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

VfB Stuttgart

3-4-2-1
  1. 9E. Demirović
  1. 6A. Stiller
  2. 26D. Undav
  3. 10C. Führich
  4. 4J. Vagnoman
  5. 21G. Prömel
  6. 18J. Leweling
  1. 24J. Chabot
  2. 3R. Hendriks
  3. 7M. Mittelstädt
  1. 1F. Bredlow

RB Leipzig

4-2-3-1
  1. 40Rômulo
  1. 7A. Nusa
  2. 6E. Banzuzi
  3. 21N. El Aynaoui
  4. 28C. Nkunku
  5. 10B. Gruda
  1. 4W. Orbán
  2. 22D. Raum
  3. 17R. Baku
  4. 23C. Lukeba
  1. 26M. Vandevoordt

Computed on October 15, 2026 at 09:35 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, VfB Stuttgart have 10 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats; RB Leipzig have 8, 0 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

VfB Stuttgart
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 14, 2026Slovan Bratislava(away)3-0UEFA Champions League
Oct 10, 2026SC Paderborn 07(away)2-0Bundesliga
Oct 1, 2026SpVgg Greuther Fürth(home)5-0Friendlies Clubs
Sep 25, 20261. FC Heidenheim(home)3-0Friendlies Clubs
Sep 19, 2026Borussia Dortmund(home)0-1Bundesliga
RB Leipzig
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 13, 2026PSV Eindhoven(home)1-0UEFA Champions League
Oct 10, 2026Eintracht Frankfurt(home)6-0Bundesliga
Sep 20, 2026Bayer Leverkusen(away)0-2Bundesliga
Sep 13, 2026Hamburger SV(home)5-0Bundesliga
Sep 10, 2026Como(away)1-4UEFA Champions League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 5 VfB Stuttgart wins, 0 draws, 1 RB Leipzig win.

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 15, 2026VfB Stuttgart 1-0 RB LeipzigBundesliga
Nov 1, 2025RB Leipzig 3-1 VfB StuttgartBundesliga
May 17, 2025RB Leipzig 2-3 VfB StuttgartBundesliga
Apr 2, 2025VfB Stuttgart 3-1 RB LeipzigDFB Pokal
Jan 15, 2025VfB Stuttgart 2-1 RB LeipzigBundesliga
Jan 27, 2024VfB Stuttgart 5-2 RB LeipzigBundesliga

Last archived meeting: VfB Stuttgart vs RB Leipzig on Mar 15, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

VfB Stuttgart score 2.9 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; RB Leipzig score 2.2 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
VfB Stuttgart2.91.067/1512/15
RB Leipzig2.21.576/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

VfB Stuttgart sit 11th in Bundesliga (6 points from 5 matches) and RB Leipzig sit 5th (9 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5RB Leipzig53021559
11VfB Stuttgart5203896

A question about VfB Stuttgart vs RB Leipzig?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for VfB Stuttgart vs RB Leipzig?
The Footlab AI model makes VfB Stuttgart the favourite at 49%, against 23% for a draw and 28% for RB Leipzig.
Where and when is VfB Stuttgart vs RB Leipzig played?
VfB Stuttgart vs RB Leipzig is played on May 15, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at MHPArena, in the Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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