Match

1899 Hoffenheim vs FSV Mainz 05: prediction and stats

BundesligaRegular Season - 33Kick-off on May 15, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)PreZero Arena, Sinsheim

1899 HoffenheimFSV Mainz 05

The Footlab AI model makes FSV Mainz 05 the favourite at 48%, against 23% for a draw and 29% for 1899 Hoffenheim. The most likely score is 1-1. If FSV Mainz 05 wins, the most likely score is 1-2.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,793 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win 1899 Hoffenheim vs FSV Mainz 05?

A very open match: only 61 Elo points separate 1899 Hoffenheim (2,141) and FSV Mainz 05 (2,202).

29%23%48%
1899 Hoffenheim winDrawFSV Mainz 05 win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for 1899 Hoffenheim vs FSV Mainz 05

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

1899 Hoffenheim

4-2-3-1
  1. 19T. Lemperle
  1. 7L. Avdullahu
  2. 20B. Conté
  3. 10A. Hložek
  4. 11F. Asllani
  5. 18W. Burger
  1. 34V. Coufal
  2. 28K. Machida
  3. 39M. Rots
  4. 5O. Kabak
  1. 1O. Baumann

FSV Mainz 05

3-5-2
  1. 9P. Tietz
  2. 23S. Becker
  1. 10N. Amiri
  2. 19A. Caci
  3. 2P. Mwene
  4. 6K. Sano
  5. 7Lee Jae-Sung
  1. 4S. Posch
  2. 48K. Potulski
  3. 3F. Gruber
  1. 1A. Schwolow

Computed on October 19, 2026 at 11:02 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, 1899 Hoffenheim have 7 wins, 0 draws and 8 defeats; FSV Mainz 05 have 11, 2 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

1899 Hoffenheim
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 18, 2026Borussia Mönchengladbach(away)2-1Bundesliga
Oct 15, 2026Beşiktaş(home)2-3UEFA Europa League
Oct 10, 2026Hamburger SV(home)2-3Bundesliga
Sep 20, 2026SC Paderborn 07(away)1-3Bundesliga
Sep 17, 2026OFI(away)0-2UEFA Europa League
FSV Mainz 05
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026FC Schalke 04(away)1-0Bundesliga
Oct 10, 2026Bayer Leverkusen(home)3-4Bundesliga
Oct 3, 2026Waldhof Mannheim(away)3-0Friendlies Clubs
Sep 19, 2026Borussia Mönchengladbach(away)4-3Bundesliga
Sep 12, 2026Eintracht Frankfurt(home)1-3Bundesliga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 1899 Hoffenheim win, 2 draws, 3 FSV Mainz 05 wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 4, 20261899 Hoffenheim 1-2 FSV Mainz 05Bundesliga
Nov 21, 2025FSV Mainz 05 1-1 1899 HoffenheimBundesliga
Apr 12, 20251899 Hoffenheim 2-0 FSV Mainz 05Bundesliga
Dec 1, 2024FSV Mainz 05 2-0 1899 HoffenheimBundesliga
Apr 13, 2024FSV Mainz 05 4-1 1899 HoffenheimBundesliga
Nov 26, 20231899 Hoffenheim 1-1 FSV Mainz 05Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: 1899 Hoffenheim vs FSV Mainz 05 on Apr 4, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

1899 Hoffenheim score 1.8 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; FSV Mainz 05 score 3.5 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
1899 Hoffenheim1.81.848/1513/15
FSV Mainz 053.51.096/1512/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

1899 Hoffenheim sit 14th in Bundesliga (6 points from 6 matches) and FSV Mainz 05 sit 5th (10 points from 6 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5FSV Mainz 056312141010
141899 Hoffenheim620411146

A question about 1899 Hoffenheim vs FSV Mainz 05?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for 1899 Hoffenheim vs FSV Mainz 05?
The Footlab AI model makes FSV Mainz 05 the favourite at 48%, against 23% for a draw and 29% for 1899 Hoffenheim.
Where and when is 1899 Hoffenheim vs FSV Mainz 05 played?
1899 Hoffenheim vs FSV Mainz 05 is played on May 15, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at PreZero Arena, in the Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: 1899 Hoffenheim and FSV Mainz 05

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