Where and when is Borussia Dortmund vs 1. FC Köln played?

Borussia Dortmund vs 1. FC Köln is played on May 15, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at SIGNAL IDUNA PARK, in the Bundesliga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Borussia Dortmund vs 1. FC Köln: prediction and stats

BundesligaRegular Season - 33Kick-off on May 15, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)SIGNAL IDUNA PARK, Dortmund

Borussia Dortmund

1. FC Köln

The Footlab model makes Borussia Dortmund the favourite at 57%, against 21% for a draw and 22% for 1. FC Köln. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Borussia Dortmund vs 1. FC Köln?

Borussia Dortmund starts as the favourite with a 241-point Elo edge (2,291 vs 2,049).

Borussia Dortmund win57 %

Draw21 %

1. FC Köln win22 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Borussia Dortmund have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; 1. FC Köln have 4, 6 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Borussia Dortmund
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Bayern München(home)	1-2	Super Cup
Aug 15, 2026	AS Roma(home)	2-2	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 9, 2026	Arsenal(away)	3-2	Emirates Cup
Aug 1, 2026	FC Tokyo(away)	1-0	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 29, 2026	Cerezo Osaka(away)	0-1	Friendlies Clubs

1. FC Köln
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 24, 2026	Würzburger Kickers(away)	2-1	DFB Pokal
Aug 8, 2026	Real Sociedad(home)	2-1	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 31, 2026	Hertha BSC(home)	2-2	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 23, 2026	Bergisch Gladbach(away)	8-0	Friendlies Clubs
May 16, 2026	Bayern München(away)	1-5	Bundesliga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Borussia Dortmund win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 1. FC Köln win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 7, 2026	1. FC Köln 1-2 Borussia Dortmund	Bundesliga
Oct 25, 2025	Borussia Dortmund 1-0 1. FC Köln	Bundesliga
Jan 20, 2024	1. FC Köln 0-4 Borussia Dortmund	Bundesliga
Aug 19, 2023	Borussia Dortmund 1-0 1. FC Köln	Bundesliga
Mar 18, 2023	Borussia Dortmund 6-1 1. FC Köln	Bundesliga
Oct 1, 2022	1. FC Köln 3-2 Borussia Dortmund	Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: 1. FC Köln vs Borussia Dortmund on Mar 7, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Borussia Dortmund score 1.7 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; 1. FC Köln score 2.0 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Borussia Dortmund	1.7	1.2	4	8/15	9/15
1. FC Köln	2.0	1.9	1	13/15	12/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Borussia Dortmund sit 2nd in Bundesliga (73 points from 34 matches) and 1. FC Köln sit 14th (32 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
2	Borussia Dortmund	34	22	7	5	70	34	73
14	1. FC Köln	34	7	11	16	49	63	32

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Borussia Dortmund vs 1. FC Köln?: The Footlab model makes Borussia Dortmund the favourite at 57%, against 21% for a draw and 22% for 1. FC Köln.
Where and when is Borussia Dortmund vs 1. FC Köln played?: Borussia Dortmund vs 1. FC Köln is played on May 15, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at SIGNAL IDUNA PARK, in the Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.