Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Werder Bremen: prediction and stats
BundesligaRegular Season - 28Kick-off on April 3, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)BORUSSIA-PARK, Mönchengladbach
The Footlab model makes Borussia Mönchengladbach the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Werder Bremen. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Werder Bremen?
A very open match: only 68 Elo points separate Borussia Mönchengladbach (2,107) and Werder Bremen (2,039).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Borussia Mönchengladbach have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Werder Bremen have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Schott Mainz(away) | 5-0 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Aston Villa(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 12, 2026 | SSVg Velbert(away) | 8-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Hansa Rostock(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Rot-Weiß Essen(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Lüneburger SK Hansa(away) | 3-0 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Auxerre(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | SC Paderborn 07(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Energie Cottbus(away) | 4-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | VfL Bochum(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Borussia Mönchengladbach win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Werder Bremen win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | Werder Bremen 1-1 Borussia Mönchengladbach | Bundesliga |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Borussia Mönchengladbach 0-4 Werder Bremen | Bundesliga |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Werder Bremen 2-4 Borussia Mönchengladbach | Bundesliga |
| Nov 3, 2024 | Borussia Mönchengladbach 4-1 Werder Bremen | Bundesliga |
| May 4, 2024 | Werder Bremen 2-2 Borussia Mönchengladbach | Bundesliga |
| Dec 15, 2023 | Borussia Mönchengladbach 2-2 Werder Bremen | Bundesliga |
Last archived meeting: Werder Bremen vs Borussia Mönchengladbach on Jan 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Borussia Mönchengladbach score 2.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Werder Bremen score 1.8 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Borussia Mönchengladbach | 2.9 | 0.9 | 6 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| Werder Bremen | 1.8 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Borussia Mönchengladbach sit 12th in Bundesliga (38 points from 34 matches) and Werder Bremen sit 15th (32 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 42 | 53 | 38 |
| 15 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 60 | 32 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Werder Bremen?
- The Footlab model makes Borussia Mönchengladbach the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Werder Bremen.
- Where and when is Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Werder Bremen played?
- Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Werder Bremen is played on April 3, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at BORUSSIA-PARK, in the Bundesliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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