Where and when is SV Elversberg vs 1. FC Köln played?

SV Elversberg vs 1. FC Köln is played on April 3, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at URSAPHARM-Arena an der Kaiserlinde, in the Bundesliga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

SV Elversberg vs 1. FC Köln: prediction and stats

BundesligaRegular Season - 28Kick-off on April 3, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)URSAPHARM-Arena an der Kaiserlinde, Spiesen-Elversberg

SV Elversberg

1. FC Köln

The Footlab model makes SV Elversberg the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for 1. FC Köln. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win SV Elversberg vs 1. FC Köln?

A very open match: only 60 Elo points separate SV Elversberg (2,098) and 1. FC Köln (2,038).

SV Elversberg win49 %

Draw24 %

1. FC Köln win27 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SV Elversberg have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; 1. FC Köln have 3, 7 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

SV Elversberg
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	MSV Duisburg(away)	3-1	DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026	Lorient(home)	4-1	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026	Mallorca(away)	1-1	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 4, 2026	Strasbourg(away)	5-2	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026	NEC Nijmegen(away)	1-0	Friendlies Clubs

1. FC Köln
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 8, 2026	Real Sociedad(home)	2-1	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 31, 2026	Hertha BSC(home)	2-2	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 23, 2026	Bergisch Gladbach(away)	8-0	Friendlies Clubs
May 16, 2026	Bayern München(away)	1-5	Bundesliga
May 10, 2026	1. FC Heidenheim(home)	1-3	Bundesliga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 0 SV Elversberg win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 1. FC Köln win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jan 25, 2025	1. FC Köln 1-0 SV Elversberg	2. Bundesliga
Aug 10, 2024	SV Elversberg 2-2 1. FC Köln	2. Bundesliga
Jul 24, 2021	1. FC Köln 2-1 SV Elversberg	Friendlies Clubs

Last archived meeting: 1. FC Köln vs SV Elversberg on Jan 25, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

SV Elversberg score 2.5 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; 1. FC Köln score 2.0 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
SV Elversberg	2.5	1.2	4	11/15	11/15
1. FC Köln	2.0	1.9	1	13/15	12/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
14	1. FC Köln	34	7	11	16	49	63	32

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for SV Elversberg vs 1. FC Köln?: The Footlab model makes SV Elversberg the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for 1. FC Köln.
Where and when is SV Elversberg vs 1. FC Köln played?: SV Elversberg vs 1. FC Köln is played on April 3, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at URSAPHARM-Arena an der Kaiserlinde, in the Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.