Bedford Town vs Merthyr Town: prediction and stats
National League - NorthNational League North - 29Kick-off on January 26, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC)The New Eyrie, Cardington, Bedfordshire
The Footlab AI model makes Bedford Town the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Merthyr Town. The most likely score is 1-1. If Bedford Town wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,523 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bedford Town vs Merthyr Town?
A very open match: only 5 Elo points separate Bedford Town (1,799) and Merthyr Town (1,804).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Bedford Town vs Merthyr Town
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Bedford Town
Not enough data to predict the Bedford Town lineup.
Merthyr Town
Not enough data to predict the Merthyr Town lineup.
Computed on November 5, 2026 at 12:34 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bedford Town have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Merthyr Town have 2, 8 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Macclesfield(home) | 0-3 | National League - North |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Hednesford Town(home) | 1-0 | National League - North |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Scarborough Athletic(away) | 2-1 | National League - North |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Cray Wanderers(away) | 2-2 | FA Cup |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Cray Wanderers(home) | 0-0 | FA Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Radcliffe(away) | 3-3 | National League - North |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Oxford City(away) | 0-3 | National League - North |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Morecambe(home) | 1-3 | National League - North |
| Oct 17, 2026 | King's Lynn Town(home) | 1-1 | National League - North |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Darlington 1883(away) | 1-1 | National League - North |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Bedford Town wins, 0 draws, 2 Merthyr Town wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2026 | Merthyr Town 7-1 Bedford Town | National League - North |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Bedford Town 3-4 Merthyr Town | National League - North |
Last archived meeting: Merthyr Town vs Bedford Town on Feb 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Bedford Town score 1.4 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Merthyr Town score 1.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bedford Town | 1.4 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Merthyr Town | 1.1 | 1.5 | 2 | 11/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bedford Town sit 10th in National League - North (22 points from 14 matches) and Merthyr Town sit 19th (16 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Bedford Town | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 19 | 22 |
| 19 | Merthyr Town | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 18 | 22 | 16 |
A question about Bedford Town vs Merthyr Town?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bedford Town vs Merthyr Town?
- The Footlab AI model makes Bedford Town the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Merthyr Town.
- Where and when is Bedford Town vs Merthyr Town played?
- Bedford Town vs Merthyr Town is played on January 26, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at The New Eyrie, in the National League - North.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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