Southport vs Darlington 1883: prediction and stats
National League - NorthNational League North - 29Kick-off on January 26, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC)The BIG HELP Stadium, Southport, Merseyside
The Footlab model makes Southport the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for Darlington 1883. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Southport vs Darlington 1883?
A very open match: only 43 Elo points separate Southport (1,824) and Darlington 1883 (1,781).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Southport have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Darlington 1883 have 3, 1 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bedford Town(home) | 4-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Hednesford Town(away) | 2-2 | National League - North |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Buxton(home) | 1-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Hebburn Town(away) | 1-3 | National League - North |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Wigan(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Harborough Town(away) | 2-4 | National League - North |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Chester(home) | 0-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Bedford Town(away) | 3-2 | National League - North |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Worksop Town(home) | 1-2 | National League - North |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Rotherham(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Southport win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Darlington 1883 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2026 | Southport 2-2 Darlington 1883 | National League - North |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Darlington 1883 2-0 Southport | National League - North |
| Feb 15, 2025 | Southport 0-0 Darlington 1883 | National League - North |
| Sep 21, 2024 | Darlington 1883 3-0 Southport | National League - North |
| Apr 6, 2024 | Darlington 1883 2-0 Southport | National League - North |
| Jan 9, 2024 | Southport 2-0 Darlington 1883 | National League - North |
Last archived meeting: Southport vs Darlington 1883 on Feb 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Southport score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Darlington 1883 score 1.1 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southport | 1.5 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Darlington 1883 | 1.1 | 2.2 | 2 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Southport sit 11th in National League - North (5 points from 4 matches) and Darlington 1883 sit 19th (3 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Southport | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 5 |
| 19 | Darlington 1883 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Southport vs Darlington 1883?
- The Footlab model makes Southport the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for Darlington 1883.
- Where and when is Southport vs Darlington 1883 played?
- Southport vs Darlington 1883 is played on January 26, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at The BIG HELP Stadium, in the National League - North.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 26, 2027MorecambevsMacclesfield
- Jan 26, 2027ChestervsHarborough Town
- Jan 26, 2027Oxford CityvsHednesford Town
- Jan 26, 2027HerefordvsBrackley Town
- Jan 26, 2027Spennymoor TownvsMarine
- Jan 26, 2027Worksop TownvsSouth Shields
- Jan 26, 2027Bedford TownvsMerthyr Town
- Jan 26, 2027Spalding UnitedvsScarborough Athletic