Match

Oxford City vs Hednesford Town: prediction and stats

National League - NorthNational League North - 29Kick-off on January 26, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC)RAW Charging Stadium, Oxford, Oxfordshire

Oxford CityHednesford Town

The Footlab model makes Oxford City the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Hednesford Town. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Oxford City vs Hednesford Town?

A very open match: only 16 Elo points separate Oxford City (1,875) and Hednesford Town (1,891).

Oxford City win41 %
Draw26 %
Hednesford Town win34 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Oxford City have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Hednesford Town have 6, 5 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Oxford City
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Spennymoor Town(away)4-1National League - North
Aug 18, 2026Harborough Town(home)1-1National League - North
Aug 15, 2026Spalding United(away)1-0National League - North
Aug 8, 2026Bedford Town(home)1-0National League - North
Jul 28, 2026Slough Town(away)1-2Friendlies Clubs
Hednesford Town
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026AFC Telford United(away)1-1National League - North
Aug 18, 2026Southport(home)2-2National League - North
Aug 15, 2026Scarborough Athletic(home)3-4National League - North
Aug 8, 2026Merthyr Town(away)0-2National League - North
Aug 1, 2026Boston United(home)2-0Friendlies Clubs

How many goals should we expect?

Oxford City score 1.9 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Hednesford Town score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Oxford City1.91.0411/158/15
Hednesford Town1.71.358/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Oxford City sit 2nd in National League - North (10 points from 4 matches) and Hednesford Town sit 23rd (2 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Oxford City43107210
23Hednesford Town4022692

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Oxford City vs Hednesford Town?
The Footlab model makes Oxford City the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Hednesford Town.
Where and when is Oxford City vs Hednesford Town played?
Oxford City vs Hednesford Town is played on January 26, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at RAW Charging Stadium, in the National League - North.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Oxford City and Hednesford Town

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