Match

Morecambe vs Macclesfield: prediction and stats

National League - NorthNational League North - 29Kick-off on January 26, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Mazuma Stadium, Morecambe, Lancashire

MorecambeMacclesfield

The Footlab model makes Macclesfield the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 21% for Morecambe. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Morecambe vs Macclesfield?

Macclesfield starts as the favourite with a 277-point Elo edge (1,937 vs 1,659).

Morecambe win21 %
Draw23 %
Macclesfield win57 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Morecambe have 2 wins, 3 draws and 10 defeats; Macclesfield have 8, 3 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Morecambe
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Radcliffe(away)1-2National League - North
Aug 18, 2026South Shields(home)0-1National League - North
Aug 15, 2026Harborough Town(away)0-1National League - North
Aug 8, 2026Spennymoor Town(home)1-1National League - North
Aug 1, 2026Barrow(home)0-1Friendlies Clubs
Macclesfield
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Brackley Town(home)2-1National League - North
Aug 18, 2026Spalding United(away)0-0National League - North
Aug 15, 2026Radcliffe(home)2-1National League - North
Aug 8, 2026Marine(away)1-0National League - North
Aug 1, 2026United of Manchester(home)2-0Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Morecambe win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Macclesfield win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jul 9, 2022Macclesfield 2-2 MorecambeFriendlies Clubs
Feb 11, 2020Morecambe 2-0 MacclesfieldLeague Two
Aug 20, 2019Macclesfield 0-1 MorecambeLeague Two
Apr 6, 2019Macclesfield 1-1 MorecambeLeague Two
Sep 22, 2018Morecambe 2-1 MacclesfieldLeague Two
Feb 14, 2012Morecambe 1-0 MacclesfieldLeague Two

Last archived meeting: Macclesfield vs Morecambe on Jul 9, 2022

How many goals should we expect?

Morecambe score 1.1 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Macclesfield score 1.4 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Morecambe1.12.118/159/15
Macclesfield1.41.239/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Morecambe sit 24th in National League - North (1 points from 4 matches) and Macclesfield sit 4th (10 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Macclesfield43105210
24Morecambe4013251

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Morecambe vs Macclesfield?
The Footlab model makes Macclesfield the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 21% for Morecambe.
Where and when is Morecambe vs Macclesfield played?
Morecambe vs Macclesfield is played on January 26, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Mazuma Stadium, in the National League - North.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Morecambe and Macclesfield

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