Match

Hereford vs Brackley Town: prediction and stats

National League - NorthNational League North - 29Kick-off on January 26, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Edgar Street Athletic Ground, Hereford, Herefordshire

HerefordBrackley Town

The Footlab model makes Hereford the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for Brackley Town. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Hereford vs Brackley Town?

Hereford starts as the favourite with a 106-point Elo edge (1,797 vs 1,691).

Hereford win53 %
Draw24 %
Brackley Town win23 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hereford have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Brackley Town have 3, 4 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Hereford
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Worksop Town(away)3-0National League - North
Aug 18, 2026Radcliffe(home)3-0National League - North
Aug 15, 2026Marine(home)1-0National League - North
Aug 8, 2026Buxton(away)1-2National League - North
Aug 1, 2026Bromsgrove Sporting(away)1-0Friendlies Clubs
Brackley Town
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Macclesfield(away)1-2National League - North
Aug 18, 2026King's Lynn Town(home)0-2National League - North
Aug 15, 2026Hebburn Town(home)1-1National League - North
Aug 8, 2026AFC Telford United(away)2-1National League - North
Aug 1, 2026Maidenhead(home)1-0Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Hereford win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Brackley Town win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 1, 2025Hereford 3-2 Brackley TownNational League - North
Aug 31, 2024Brackley Town 1-2 HerefordNational League - North
Mar 16, 2024Brackley Town 2-0 HerefordNational League - North
Nov 7, 2023Hereford 1-0 Brackley TownNational League - North
Apr 10, 2023Hereford 2-2 Brackley TownNational League - North
Sep 13, 2022Brackley Town 2-1 HerefordNational League - North

Last archived meeting: Hereford vs Brackley Town on Feb 1, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Hereford score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Brackley Town score 0.7 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Hereford1.51.158/159/15
Brackley Town0.71.617/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Hereford sit 6th in National League - North (9 points from 4 matches) and Brackley Town sit 15th (4 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Hereford4301829
15Brackley Town4112464

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Hereford vs Brackley Town?
The Footlab model makes Hereford the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for Brackley Town.
Where and when is Hereford vs Brackley Town played?
Hereford vs Brackley Town is played on January 26, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Edgar Street Athletic Ground, in the National League - North.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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